The Wolverines are 7.5-point favourites on the college football odds.

VRBO Fiesta Bowl Betting Analysis

Friday is the first-ever meeting between TCU of the Big 12 and Michigan of the Big Ten. The Frogs haven’t faced a Big Ten school since a 34-13 win vs. Purdue in 2019. The Wolverines last played a Big 12 opponent in 2013 and lost to Kansas State.

It’s the first time in the College Football Playoff semifinals for TCU, which is also the first school from Texas to make and first Big 12 school other than Oklahoma. Michigan is in it for the second year in a row, losing to eventual national champion Georgia 34-11 last season.

The winner faces either No. 1 Georgia or No. 4 Ohio State in the national title game on Jan. 9 from SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Michigan upset the Buckeyes in late November to earn a return trip to the Big Ten Championship Game.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs (3)

TCU was picked to finish seventh in the Big 12 under first-year coach Sonny Dykes, but he won several national Coach of the Year Awards in leading the Frogs to a 12-0 regular season before being upset 31-28 in OT by Kansas State in the conference title game. The CFP committee, though, kept TCU at No. 3 in the ranking.

Quarterback and Heisman Trophy finalist Max Duggan wasn’t the team’s Week 1 starter but took over for an injured Chandler Morris and kept the gig. He threw for 3,321 yards with 30 TDs and four picks while rushing for 404 yards and six scores. Duggan will enter the 2023 NFL Draft but isn’t opting out of a playoff game. That doesn’t happen. TCU is the second team to open the season unranked and reach the CFP. The other? Michigan last year. The Frogs’ five wins over ranked opponents are tied with Tennessee for the national lead. TCU is 9-3-1 ATS in its past 13 games.

Michigan Wolverines (2)

Could this be the last game as Michigan coach for Jim Harbaugh if the Wolverines are upset? He nearly took the Minnesota Vikings job after last season, and the Denver Broncos are expected to at least reach out to Harbaugh. He enters the Fiesta Bowl with a 2-6 record in bowl games, including 1-5 at Michigan. The Wolverines are 13-0 for the first time in school history behind a dominant running game that averages 243.0 yards (fifth nationally) and a defence that gives up just 13.4 points per game (fifth in country).

U-M’s top running back and a one-time Heisman contender is Blake Corum (1,463 yards, 18 TDs), but he hurt his knee on Nov. 19 vs. Illinois and won’t play in the playoff even if U-M advances. Harbaugh has quite the No. 2 in Donovan Edwards, who averages 7.5 yards per rush and obliterated Ohio State for 216 yards and two scores on 22 carries in the regular-season finale. Michigan is 5-2 ATS in its past seven non-conference games.

Fiesta Bowl Prediction:Who Will Win TCU vs. Michigan?

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Horned Frogs Team Leaders

TCU

Touchdowns	Kendre Miller 17
Rushing	Kendre Miller 1342
Passing	Max Duggan 3321
Receiving	Quentin Johnston 53
Sacks	Dee Winters 7.5
Interceptions	Bud Clark 4

MICH

Touchdowns	Blake Corum 19
Rushing	Blake Corum 1463
Passing	J.J. McCarthy 2376
Receiving	Ronnie Bell 56
Sacks	Mike Morris 7
Interceptions	Rod Moore 3

TCU

Touchdowns	Taye Barber 1
Rushing	Emari Demercado 209
Passing	Max Duggan 377
Receiving	Derius Davis 7
Sacks	Dylan Horton 4
Interceptions	Dee Winters 1

MICH

Touchdowns	Roman Wilson 2
Rushing	Donovan Edwards 119
Passing	J.J. McCarthy 343
Receiving	Ronnie Bell 6
Sacks	Makari Paige 1
Interceptions	Mike Sainristil 1

• Regular Season
• Playoffs

Wolverines Team Leaders

TCU

Touchdowns	Kendre Miller 17
Rushing	Kendre Miller 1342
Passing	Max Duggan 3321
Receiving	Quentin Johnston 53
Sacks	Dee Winters 7.5
Interceptions	Bud Clark 4

MICH

Touchdowns	Blake Corum 19
Rushing	Blake Corum 1463
Passing	J.J. McCarthy 2376
Receiving	Ronnie Bell 56
Sacks	Mike Morris 7
Interceptions	Rod Moore 3

TCU

Touchdowns	Taye Barber 1
Rushing	Emari Demercado 209
Passing	Max Duggan 377
Receiving	Derius Davis 7
Sacks	Dylan Horton 4
Interceptions	Dee Winters 1

MICH

Touchdowns	Roman Wilson 2
Rushing	Donovan Edwards 119
Passing	J.J. McCarthy 343
Receiving	Ronnie Bell 6
Sacks	Makari Paige 1
Interceptions	Mike Sainristil 1

Injuries

Texas Christian

Kendre Miller (RB)

Doub Mon Knee - 03 / 01 / 23

Kendre Miller (RB)

Prob Sat Undisclosed - 20 / 11 / 22

Derius Davis (WR)

Prob Sat Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22

Quentin Johnston (WR)

Ques Sat Ankle - 19 / 11 / 22

Quentin Johnston (WR)

Prob Sat Ankle - 05 / 11 / 22

Quincy Brown (WR)

Out indefinitely Undisclosed - 13 / 09 / 22

Chandler Morris (QB)

Out indefinitely Knee - 03 / 09 / 22

Corey Wren (RB)

Out Fri Undisclosed - 30 / 08 / 22

Michigan

Donovan Edwards (RB)

Prob Sat Hand - 29 / 12 / 22

Blake Corum (RB)

out for season Knee - 01 / 12 / 22

Blake Corum (RB)

Prob Sat Knee - 19 / 11 / 22

Donovan Edwards (RB)

Prob Sat Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22

A.J Henning (WR)

Prob Sat Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22

Luke Schoonmaker (TE)

Ques Sat Undisclosed - 12 / 11 / 22

Kalel Mullings (LB)

Ques Sat Undisclosed - 05 / 11 / 22

Roman Wilson (WR)

Ques Sat Undisclosed - 05 / 11 / 22

Roman Wilson (WR)

Prob Sat Undisclosed - 08 / 10 / 22

Caden Kolesar (DB)

out for season Knee - 05 / 10 / 22

Injuries

Texas Christian

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Kendre Miller (RB)	Doub Mon	Knee - 03 / 01 / 23	1-0	1-0	+ -
Miller is hampered by an MCL sprain, and it is unlikely that he will be available for the National Championship game versus Georgia.
Kendre Miller (RB)	Prob Sat	Undisclosed - 20 / 11 / 22	2-2	2-2	+ -
Miller was removed from the last game with an unknown issue, but it is expected that he will take on Iowa State on Saturday.
Derius Davis (WR)	Prob Sat	Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22	3-2	2-3	+ -
Davis sat out the last game due to an undetermined injury, but it is likely that he will suit up Saturday versus Iowa State.
Quentin Johnston (WR)	Ques Sat	Ankle - 19 / 11 / 22	3-2	2-3	+ -
Johnston missed the previous game with a right ankle ailment, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up Saturday against Kansas State.
Quentin Johnston (WR)	Prob Sat	Ankle - 05 / 11 / 22	5-2	3-4	+ -
Johnston exited the last game with an ankle injury, but it is projected that he will return against Texas on Saturday.
Quincy Brown (WR)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 13 / 09 / 22	9-3	8-5	+ -
Brown is sidelined with a unknown injury, and it has yet to be determined how long he will be idle.
Chandler Morris (QB)	Out indefinitely	Knee - 03 / 09 / 22	-	-	+ -
Morris is sidelined with a left knee injury and will miss an undetermined amount of time.
Corey Wren (RB)	Out Fri	Undisclosed - 30 / 08 / 22	-	-	+ -
Wren is tending to an unknown injury, and he will not be active for the season opener versus Colorado.

Michigan

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Donovan Edwards (RB)	Prob Sat	Hand - 29 / 12 / 22	1-0	1-0	+ -
Edwards has a hand injury, but he is expected to take on TCU in the Fiesta Bowl.
Blake Corum (RB)	out for season	Knee - 01 / 12 / 22	2-0	2-0	+ -
Corum is expected to miss the rest of the season after having surgery to repair a left knee injury.
Blake Corum (RB)	Prob Sat	Knee - 19 / 11 / 22	2-1	2-2	+ -
Corum is dealing with a knee ailment, but it is likely that he will face Ohio State on Saturday.
Donovan Edwards (RB)	Prob Sat	Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22	2-1	2-2	+ -
Edwards sat out the previous game with an undetermined injury, but it likely that he will face Ohio State on Saturday.
A.J Henning (WR)	Prob Sat	Undisclosed - 19 / 11 / 22	2-1	2-2	+ -
Henning was absent from the previous contest with an unknown issue, but it is likely that he will line up against Ohio State on Saturday.
Luke Schoonmaker (TE)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 12 / 11 / 22	3-1	3-2	+ -
Schoonmaker has missed the last two games with with an unannounced injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up for Saturday's tilt versus Ohio State.
Kalel Mullings (LB)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 05 / 11 / 22	4-1	3-3	+ -
Mullings has missed the previous two contests with an undefined ailment, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Illinois on Saturday.
Roman Wilson (WR)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 05 / 11 / 22	4-1	3-3	+ -
Wilson missed the last game dealing with an unspecified ailment, and it remains to be seen if he will play Saturday against Nebraska.
Roman Wilson (WR)	Prob Sat	Undisclosed - 08 / 10 / 22	6-2	4-5	+ -
Wilson sat out the previous game with an unknown injury, but he is expected to suit up for Saturday's battle against Penn State.
Caden Kolesar (DB)	out for season	Knee - 05 / 10 / 22	6-2	4-5	+ -
Kolesar will sit out the remainder of the 2022 season with a torn ACL.