San Diego St. vs. UConn Championship Prediction: March Madness Odds
The Huskies are priced as 7.5-point favourites on the NCAA odds.
SDSU vs. UConn NCAA Championship Point Spread and Betting
On the moneyline, UConn is -328 and SDSU +270. The total is 132.5. Even though the spread is 7.5, the favoured winning margin is Huskies by 3-6 points at +425. By 7-9 is +600.
A No. 5 seed like San Diego State has never won the NCAA Tournament, the only seed in the Top 8 not to. The only No. 4 seed like UConn to win it all was Arizona back in 1997. SDSU is the first current Mountain West team to reach the national title game. UConn is in the title game for a fifth time and won the first four, most recently in 2014. The Huskies had lost in the Dance’s first round the previous two years under Coach Dan Hurley.
The lone meeting between the schools game in the 2011 Sweet 16 when UConn beat San Diego State 74-67 in Anaheim, Calif.
San Diego St. Aztecs (5)
A national championship in men’s basketball would sure do a lot for San Diego State’s chances of upgrading its conference affiliation from the Mountain West to the Pac-12, which the school absolutely wants to do. No Pac-12 school has won it all in this sport since 1997. Previously, no Mountain West school had gone past the Sweet 16. SDSU enters off rare back-to-back one-point wins, beating No. 6 Creighton 57-56 in the Elite Eight and then No. 9 Florida Atlantic 72-71 on a buzzer-beating jumper from Lamont Butler on Saturday. San Diego State trailed that one by 14 in the second half. Aztecs leading scorer Matt Bradley had been struggling but finished with 21 points. SDSU is the third team ever to win back-to-back NCAA Tournament games by one point. Should Coach Brian Dutcher’s team win, it would be the second time in history a first-time Final Four team won a national championship. The Aztecs are 15-5-1 ATS in their past 21.
Connecticut Huskies (4)
UConn has had one of the most dominant runs in NCAA Tournament history in winning each of its first five games all by at least 13 points, and four of those five opponents won some sort of conference title. The Huskies are the sixth team since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985 to reach the title game with five straight double-digit victories. Four of the first five went on to win the championship. The Huskies held high-powered Gonzaga and Miami both under 60 points in the past two games. Almost surely the Final Four Most Outstanding Player should UConn finish this off will be one of the school’s two first-team All-Big East picks in either guard Jordan Hawkins or forward Adama Sanogo. Hawkins is averaging 16.4 ppg in the tournament, and Sanogo 20.2 points and 9.8 rebounds. The Huskies haven’t lost a non-conference game this season. They might be preseason No. 1 for next year regardless of what happens here. UConn is 13-3 ATS in its past 16.
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