Nik’s Picks: CFL Week 16 Predictions Point Spread, Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Nov 17, 2021

With the six playoff teams already determined, all four CFL games have this week have the potential for regular starters to sit out.

The CFL is back with a 14-game season, and Week 16 marks the end of the regular season. All five West Division teams in particular should rest players, while Montreal and Hamilton should keep everyone in as they aim for second in the East.

Nik’s Picks is here for you to gain on edge on the lines throughout the 2021 CFL season.

Ottawa Redblacks at Montreal Alouettes

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Montreal -14, Over/under 45

Win a win and some help Montreal can still clinch a home playoff game, so it’ll be no mercy on the 2-11 Ottawa Redblacks. Friday’s meeting is the fourth of the season between Ottawa and Montreal and the latter’s taken all three. It’s presumably Trevor Harris’ first start as an Alouette against his longest-tenured team in Ottawa as well. That said, one of the Redblacks’ two wins in 2021 has come against Harris back in Week 1 when he was a member of the Edmonton Elks.

The key matchup between these two clubs has been — and will continue to be — the ground game. Specifically, Montreal’s league-best rushing attack versus Ottawa’s league worst run defence. Despite leading rusher William Stanback only playing once versus Ottawa in 2021, Montreal’s gone over 100 yards on the ground in all three of their meetings with the Redblacks.

Fourteen points is a large number to cover, but doable given Montreal’s need to win this one.

Ottawa 15 Montreal 32

Best bet: Montreal first half -8

Edmonton Elks at BC Lions

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: BC -4.5, Over/under 48.5

With the Elks playing Tuesday (COVID-19 make-up game) and also the following Saturday, Friday at BC could be a farm team-like roster for them at Vancouver. Given it’s both Edmonton’s and BC’s final game of the 2021 season, the same can be said for both clubs.

Rookie Canadian Nathan Rourke is getting his second career start at quarterback for BC and it could be either Taylor Cornelius, Dakota Prukop, or Nick Arbuckle for Edmonton. With Cornelius starting both of Edmonton’s last two games during these past four days, it’s smart to expect one of the other two to play Friday. It’s also smart to expect fatigue to catch up to Edmonton after three games in seven days, especially when they sit at 3-10 and in the West’s basement. BC’s at home, rested, and poised to snap their seven-game losing streak here. Take the Leos.

Edmonton 18 BC 24

Best bet: Under 48.5

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Hamilton Tiger-Cats

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Hamilton -5.5, Over/under 42

With second in the West and a home playoff game clinched, Saskatchewan is giving the final week off to several key veterans. Head coach Craig Dickenson has confirmed quarterback Cody Fajardo, receiver Duke Williams, defensive tackle Micah Johnson and centre Dan Clark will not play on Saturday at Hamilton to rest up for the post-season. Hamilton’s meanwhile likely going to be in a scenario where they must win to remain as the host for the East Semi-Final.

Isaac Harker will start at quarterback for the Roughriders which appropriately makes them a home underdog. The Ti-Cats path to victory Saturday gets much easier but this team has been mostly a letdown from the jump, most recently getting blown out in Toronto last week in a battle for first in the East. Jeremiah Masoli’s primed to be under centre for Hamilton, which should be enough to both win and cover this roster-managed game by Saskatchewan.

Saskatchewan 14 Hamilton 24

Best bet: Hamilton -5.5

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Winnipeg -4, Over/under 41.5

If anything became clear last week in the CFL, it’s the Bombers need Zach Collaros. Now would it be wise for first-place Winnipeg to trot him out in a meaningless season finale at Calgary? Probably not, but that’s not been ruled out as of Wednesday. The smarter play is likely giving Sean McGuire another four quarters to figure it out after a rough first career start at Montreal in Week 15.

But proceed with caution before fading the Bombers again. Calgary’s also got nothing to play for in the standings — they’re already headed to Regina next Sunday for the West Semi-Final. If both teams do, and they should, rest starters then the head-to-head battle under centre still favours Calgary. Jake Maier went into Winnipeg and almost beat the Bombers when in relief of Bo Levi Mitchell back in August and it could be Maier seeing majority of snaps on Saturday. Nothing’s confirmed yet but it’s safe to assume Calgary gets a backup-filled Winnipeg squad.

Winnipeg 14 Calgary 20

Best bet: Calgary moneyline

2021 Nik’s Picks:

Best bet record: 30-29

Moneyline record: 36-23