Nik’s Picks: CFL Week 12 Predictions, Point Spreads, Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Oct 20, 2021

As the season winds down and the West Division playoff race heats up, reinforcements are on the way in Week 12 for both Saskatchewan and Calgary.

The CFL is back with a 14-game season, and Week 12 kicks off with a Friday night meeting between the Toronto Argonauts and Montreal Alouettes. Saturday’s a triple-header, with Ottawa going to Hamilton, Winnipeg hosting BC, and Saskatchewan facing off at Calgary.

Nik’s Picks is here for you to gain on edge on the lines throughout the 2021 CFL season.

Toronto Argonauts at Montreal Alouettes

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Toronto -1, Over/under 49

Montreal’s Matthew Shiltz is getting his second straight start Friday after winning at Ottawa with 281 passing yards last week. Shiltz is temporarily under centre for the Als, who acquired veteran quarterback Trevor Harris earlier this week. Harris won’t play Friday but chances are league-leading rusher William Stanback will after missing two games. Stanback rushed for 133 yards in Montreal’s first meeting with Toronto, a 30-27 road loss for the Als on September 24.

Expect a similar total here given these circumstances: Toronto’s rested off a bye week but Chris Jones’ defence is allowing an easy 400 yards a game. To combat the yards against, McLeod Bethel-Thompson’s winning football games as a top-tier passer with deep-striking ability. First in the East is up for grabs — a spot held by the 6-3 Argos. Take them to win in a shootout.

Toronto 30 Montreal 26

Best bet: Over 49

Ottawa Redblacks at Hamilton Tiger-Cats

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Hamilton -14.5, Over/under 41.5

The Redblacks allowed 10 sacks during their loss versus Montreal last week, making life difficult for 23-year-old quarterback Caleb Evans. In four starts, Evans has still made the most of his opportunity with 1,003 yards and he’s a much-needed spark of energy into Ottawa’s offence. Most importantly, Ottawa’s moving the football more consistently.

Going to Hamilton Saturday will be Evans’ biggest test yet. Although the Ti-Cats are 4-5, they’re second in the CFL in both yards per play against and points per game against. On offence, Hamilton’s healthier and it showed in their last outing with 470 yards of offence. Reigning MOP Brandon Banks is the latest to return from injury, and quarterback Dane Evans is off the six-game injured list. Whether it’s Evans or Jeremiah Masoli under centre, Hamilton will feast on a mediocre Redblacks defence. Hamilton will score but Ottawa can put up a fight.

Ottawa 20 Hamilton 31

Best bet: Over 41.5

BC Lions at Winnipeg Blue Bombers

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Winnipeg -11.5, Over/under 42

In Week 9 the first-place Blue Bombers went out West and laid a shellacking on the BC Lions by a score of 30-9. Since then Winnipeg’s won two games against Edmonton by a score of 56-19 and BC’s dropped out of a playoff spot after losing by 29 to Calgary. Now the Lions come to Winnipeg where the Bombers are a perfect 6-0 with Zach Collaros at the helm.

Andrew Harris’ status is very much in question with a knee injury, but not to worry, as Brady Oliveira rushed for 105 yards in relief last week and would start in place of Harris. The bigger concern is right tackle Jermarcus Hardrick’s absence who remains out with a hip injury.

BC’s hit a slump and now have five of their six starting defensive backs on their injury report. The Lions are healthy everywhere else but it’s not translating to success. Winnipeg wins again.

BC 18 Winnipeg 25

Best bet: BC +11.5

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders

CFL Odds and Point Spreads: Saskatchewan -0.5, Over/under 44

As the season winds down and the West Division playoff race heats up, reinforcements are on the way in both Saskatchewan and Calgary. D’haquille Williams is set to make his first start for the Riders here, last appearing in the CFL in 2018 when he had 1,579 yards and 11 touchdowns. The former Buffalo Bill should have a major impact on Cody Fajardo’s passing attack, which ranks seventh in yards per game and average gain per pass, and sixth in pass efficiency.

Calgary’s brought in Tre Roberson to a secondary that’s shut down Fajardo and now Michael Reilly in back-to-back-to-back weeks — all of which were wins for the Stamps. Roberson won’t dress but it’s a move that shows the Stamps are all-in. Meanwhile Bo Levi Mitchell had his best game this season last Saturday, throwing for 270 yards and no interceptions.

Calgary’s now a problem in the West, which means it’s time for the Riders to wake up and win.

Saskatchewan 23 Calgary 19

Best bet: Saskatchewan moneyline

2021 Nik’s Picks:

Best bet record: 21-21

Moneyline record: 23-19