Alouettes vs. Roughriders Prediction: CFL 112th Grey Cup Point Spread, Odds
The stage is set for the 112th Grey Cup from Winnipeg, with the Saskatchewan Roughriders set to face the Montreal Alouettes.
Saskatchewan punched their ticket to the big game with a thrilling 24-21 comeback win against the B.C. Lions in the West Division Final. It was also a three-point victory in the East Final, with Montreal escaping with a 19-16 win against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats.
The Roughriders are 3.5-point favourites to win on the CFL odds, with the total pegged at 49.0.
CFL Odds and Betting
There’s been some slight movement on the spread, pushing Saskatchewan from -3 when the line opened to -3.5 as of Friday afternoon. Both teams covered as 2.5-point favourites in the division finals.
The Alouettes have been one of the most consistent franchises over the last several years. They’re seeking their ninth Grey Cup in franchise history, last winning in 2023.
It’s a different story for the Riders, whose four Grey Cup championships is the least of all active franchises. Saskatchewan has lost in the Grey Cup game 15 times, second only to Winnipeg’s 17 losses, and they haven’t reached the championship game since they won in 2013.
With this being a neutral site game, the home/away splits aren’t as relevant, but they’re still worth looking at.
Saskatchewan has been a model of consistency all year, going 6-3 both at home and on the road for a league-best 12-6 record in the regular season.
Montreal finished second in the East Division with a 10-8 record, going 4-5 at home and 6-3 on the road.
Counting playoffs, the Roughriders are a solid 11-7-1 against the spread in 2025, while the Alouettes are an even 10-10 ATS. Both teams have been great cover options on the road, with Sasky at 7-2 ATS and Montreal at 7-3 ATS.
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal surged to victory in the East Final with walk-off field goal from Jose Maltos Diaz. The big question from the game, however, is the health of quarterback Davis Alexander, who tweaked his hamstring late in the fourth quarter.
Alexander has been on the injured list twice this season, but when healthy, he’s been dominant. In seven starts during the regular season, he threw for 2,024 yards and 10 touchdowns with just three interceptions.
The 27-year-old was reportedly dropping back, throwing and jogging at Wednesday’s practice, which is a positive sign, but he’s clearly not at 100 per cent. Alexander was on the bike to keep his hamstring warm between practice sessions, which is expected to be the plan on Sunday during the Grey Cup.
The Alouettes went 7-0 with Alexander this year, but 3-8 when he didn’t start. His 13-0 career mark is the best start in CFL history.
Saskatchewan Roughriders
It was just as dramatic in the West Final, as Trevor Harris connected with Tommy Nield for a three-yard game-winning touchdown with just 11 seconds left. It capped off a resurgent season for the 39-year-old Harris, who finished the regular season with the third-most passing yards (4,549) and third-most passing TDs (24) of his career.
Running back A.J. Ouellette has also been big for this offence. Ouellette finished the regular season with 1,222 rushing yards (second in CFL) and eight TDs. He carried that success over to the West Final, rushing for 113 yards on 17 carries.
Saskatchewan’s defence has also been lethal. The Riders were second in the league with 24 interceptions and held opponents to a league-best 76.0 rushing yards per game. That could be the difference on Sunday considering Montreal’s quarterback will have limited mobility with that hamstring injury.
MTL
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