Las Vegas Aces vs LA Sparks WNBA Preview and Prediction
The Sparks’ playoff dreams died Tuesday when Erica Wheeler’s go-ahead bucket with 18 seconds left sealed a Storm win and clinched Seattle’s spot in the playoffs. Still, Los Angeles can play spoiler against an Aces team chasing the No. 2 seed. Las Vegas (29-14) enters on a franchise-record 15-game winning streak, tied with the 1998 Houston Comets for the third-longest in league history. A win in L.A. would clinch the second seed and home-court advantage through the semifinals.
The season series has leaned toward Las Vegas, who lead 2-1, but the Sparks did steal a win in Sin City back in June. This is the rubber match in what’s been an entertaining mini-rivalry all season.
Las Vegas is an 11-point favourite to win on the WNBA odds, with the total set at 168.
Las Vegas Aces vs LA Sparks WNBA Odds and Betting Trends
The Aces enter as strong favourites, and the betting trends back it up. They’re 10-0 in their last 10 games, averaging nearly 87 points while holding opponents under 75. Jackie Young and A’ja Wilson torched L.A. in both meetings, combining for multiple 30+ point and double-double outings.
On the other side, the Sparks have gone 5-5 in their last 10, but their defence has wobbled badly, ranking 12th in defensive rating over the past 15 games. The total points line sits high (168), and with both teams ranking in the top four in offensive efficiency over the last month, the Over will get a long look from bettors.
Las Vegas Aces
The Aces are peaking at the perfect time. Wilson has been un-guardable, scoring 34+ with double-digit boards in two of her three games against L.A. this season. Young has also dominated, with a triple-double in the most recent matchup.
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus made her Vegas debut this week, adding depth to an already stacked rotation. Jewell Loyd just crossed the 6,000-point milestone, and while her role is more secondary here than in Seattle, her shooting threat gives Wilson extra room to operate inside. Simply put, this team looks like a juggernaut heading into the playoffs.
Los Angeles Sparks
The Sparks were dealt a cruel blow by Tuesday’s Storm win, but they still have weapons to compete. Dearica Hamby has been a workhorse all season, averaging over 20 points in her last 10 games while also leading the team in boards and playmaking. Kelsey Plum continues to provide scoring bursts from the perimeter, and Azura Stevens has held her own against Las Vegas, posting multiple double-doubles in the season series.
The Sparks’ offensive identity has been pace and perimeter shooting, averaging 8.7 made threes per game, slightly more than Vegas usually allows. The trouble comes on the other end, where their defence has struggled to slow elite scorers. Playing for pride and momentum into 2025, expect Hamby, Plum, and Stevens to carry the load in this finale.
WNBA Prediction: Who Will Win Las Vegas Aces vs LA Sparks?
The Sparks will scrap, but the reality is the Aces have far more to play for and have been rolling for six straight weeks. With Wilson in MVP form and Young consistently carving up L.A.’s defence, Vegas should keep its streak alive and lock down the No. 2 seed.
Expect offensive fireworks from both sides, but the Sparks’ porous defence tips the scales.
Best Bet: Over 168.5 Total Points
Final Score Prediction: Aces 92, Sparks 81
