2025 TNF Same-Game Parlay: New York Jets vs. New England Patriots
Week 11 starts in the AFC East with the 8-2 New England Patriots hosting the 2-7 New York Jets.
In this week’s Thursday Night Football parlay, I’m looking for the Jets to overcome their poor rushing defence and avoid a complete blowout.
Here’s what I have for a three-leg parlay priced at +650:
- Jets +13 (-110)
- Breece Hall Over 2.5 receptions (+110)
- Drake Maye 25+ rushing yards (-111)
You can also take a look at our full game preview and score prediction here.
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Jets +13
The red-hot Pats are riding a seven-game win streak, but this is way too big of number to take, especially in a short week.
The Jets gave up on the season at the trade deadline, but they’ve actually picked up their first two wins of the year since then. And they’ve generally avoided being blown out, with only two of their losses coming by more than 13 points.
I also wonder how these defences will impact the game. New York is much better at defending the pass, so the game plan for the Pats really relies on Drake Maye stepping up.
I would be surprised if New England doesn’t win this game, I just don’t see them covering this big of number.
Breece Hall Over 2.5 receptions
There’s value in targeting Jets running back Breece Hall as a passing option this week. With the Patriots boasting, by far, the league’s top defensive unit against the rush, the Jets will need to rely on throwing the ball.
That could pose a problem with top receiver Garrett Wilson sidelined by a knee injury, so I’m expecting Justin Fields to utilize Hall by focusing on short passing plays.
The stats are bizarre from New York’s win over Cleveland last week. Fields only threw the ball 11 times and no one finished with more than one reception. Hall, however, capitalized with a 42-yard TD reception.
The Jets need to get the passing game going this week and Hall will benefit.
Drake Maye 25+ rushing yards
Drake Maye is averaging 28.3 rushing yards per game this season and he’s put up 25 or more yards five times. That will only continue against a Jets defence that ranks eighth against the pass and 25th against the rush.
Only three teams have allowed more rushing yards to quarterbacks this season than New York and they’re down one of the top interior defensive lineman in the league after trading Quinnen Williams to Dallas as the deadline.
