It’s Matchday 3 in Group E of the Euro 2020 tournament on Wednesday and both Slovakia and Spain would advance to the knockout round with a win over the other.
It’s a noon Eastern time start from Estadio Olimpico de la Cartuja in Seville. The Spaniards are -556 favourites with the Slovaks +1300 and a draw +520 on the soccer odds.
Slovakia vs. Spain Betting Odds
On the draw no bet odds, Spain is -2500 with Slovakia +760. The total is set at 3.5 goals – the highest this writer has seen in his group stage previews — with the under a -213 favourite. To score first, Spain is -526 with Slovakia +380 and no goals +1400. That only Spain scores is -141 and only Slovakia +2500. That both do is +150.
To win Group E, Spain is a -123 favourite with Slovakia +1261 – also in the group and facing off at noon Eastern on Wednesday are Sweden (+126 to win group) and Poland (+1820). To win the tournament, Spain is +974 and Slovakia +44500.
These countries have met six times, all in major competitions. Spain has won four, lost one and drawn one. They last played in Euro 2016 qualifying and Spain won 2-0 at home.
The Slovaks sit second in Group E with three points and a goal differential of zero. They opened the tournament with a 2-1 win over Poland and lost 1-0 to Sweden in their most recent match on Friday in Russia. That lone goal was a 77th-minute penalty kick. Slovakia held possession 57 per cent of the time but was outshot 13-10, and no Slovak shots were officially on goal. Three players got yellow cards: Martin Dubravka, Ondrej Duda and Vladimir Weiss.
Slovakia will advance to the knockout round with a win or a draw as long as Sweden doesn’t lose to Poland. It’s possible that Slovakia, Sweden and Poland all finish top Group E with four points. The tiebreakers would be goal difference from the matches between the three teams.
Heads are going to roll if Spain doesn’t advance as it sits third in Group E, which it was heavily favoured to win, with two points and a goal differential of zero. Spain will advance with a win here – will take the group if Sweden loses — and will finish third with a draw (and still could advance) unless Poland wins.
La Roja drew their opening match 0-0 with Sweden and then drew 1-1 with Poland on Saturday. Alvaro Morata had the lone goal for Spain in the 25th minute, but Gerard Moreno missed a second-half penalty kick off the post. Spain did dominate possession at 69 per cent and outshot Poland 11-5 but Coach Luis Enrique is under fire right now. Pau Torres and Rodri both drew yellow cards. There is a belief Enrique will make a few changes to his lineup for this match, including captain Sergio Busquets replacing Rodri in the midfield and Manchester City winger Ferran Torres also drawing in the first XI. Busquets missed the first two games due to a positive COVID test but is set to return. Spain has won just one of its past four games overall and as drawn eight of the previous 14.