Türkiye vs. Paraguay Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
The four-game slate at the 2026 World Cup on Friday concludes with late-night action from the USA’s West Coast as Turkey faces Paraguay in Group D action with both desperate for a point. Turkey is a -105 favourite on the soccer odds with Paraguay +320 and a draw +240.
It’s the first head-to-head matchup between these countries, and a draw would ensure neither is eliminated after only two matches. Should one of the clubs lose, its chances of reaching the Round of 32 would be minuscule/finished because of a multiple-goal defeat in the opening game.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Türkiye vs. Paraguay World Cup how to watch & match info
When: Friday, 11 p.m. ET, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, Calif.
TV: TSN, TSN+
Weather: A few clouds. Low 14°C. WNW winds shifting to SSE at 16 to 24 kph
Türkiye vs. Paraguay Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Paraguay (4-4-2): Gil (keeper); Caceres, G. Gomez, Alderete, Alonso; D. Gomez, Ojeda, Bobadilla, Almiron; Enciso, Avalos
Turkey (3-4-2-1): Cakir; Celik, Demiral, Bardakci, Kadioglu; Kokcu, Calhanoglu, Yuksek; Akturkoglu, Guler, Yilmaz.
Türkiye FIFA World Cup Odds and News
FIFA world No. 26 Turkey was favoured in its opening match in Vancouver against Australia but was stunned 2-0 despite a whopping 30 total shots to just nine for the Aussies (8-4 edge in shots on goal) to see an eight-game unbeaten streak snapped. Australia’s 30 shots against were the most by a team that went on to win a match in the World Cup. So that has to at least give Turkey some confidence entering this match.
“We created so many chances, but we couldn’t score,” coach Vincenzo Montellas said. “That’s football. They defended very well; it was difficult to get into the box.”
Indeed, captain Hakan Çalhanoğlu controlled the tempo in Vancouver. But Turkey would now be eliminated from advancing with a loss here and USA avoiding a loss earlier Friday vs. Australia. Juventus star Kenan Yıldız didn’t start for Turkey in the opener due to fitness questions but could this one after coming on as a substitute.
Paraguay FIFA World Cup Odds and News
World No. 42 Paraguay was at least supposed to push the USA in the teams’ tournament opener last Friday, but the Paraguayans were blown off the pitch, 4-1 – and they usually possess a terrific defence.
They were down seven minutes in on a Damián Bobadilla own goal, and the only bright spot was Maurício’s 73rd-minute goal to avoid the blanking. You might see him move into the starting lineup for Friday after coming on as a sub.
The three-goal margin of victory was the United States’ largest at a World Cup since 1930. Paraguay had possession only 35 per cent of the time and managed one official shot on goal to six for the Americans while getting called for five yellow cards. Paraguay would be eliminated from advancing with a loss here and if Australia avoids defeat earlier Friday against the USA.
Türkiye vs. Paraguay Player Odds and Props
Both clubs have to push for goals to help potential differential to advances so we like both teams to score at -120. Also back Turkey with at least 14 total shots at -145 after 30 against the Aussies. Lastly, Turkish captain Hakan Calhanoglu for an assist at +500.
World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
To win Group D, Turkey is now +700 and Paraguay +2800, but that looks out of reach for both already. To finish runner-up, Turkey is +500 and Paraguay +370 – it is now the -135 favourite to finish bottom of the group and that would be my lean. Still believe Turkey advances, even with a third-place finish, and it is +135 to do so.
Türkiye vs. Paraguay Score Prediction
Turkey 1, Paraguay 1, keeping both alive for a meaningful final match group-stage match on June 25.