Sweden vs. Tunisia Prediction: FIFA World Cup Picks and Betting Odds
While the Netherlands enter the group as favourites, both Sweden and Tunisia will view this opening fixture as a major opportunity to gain an early advantage in the race for the knockout rounds.
Sweden return to the World Cup after successfully navigating the European qualification process and arrive with a talented squad featuring several players competing at the highest level in Europe. Tunisia, meanwhile, qualified through an outstanding CAF campaign and will be aiming to advance beyond the group stage for the first time in their history.
With Japan and the Netherlands also lurking in Group F, every point could prove decisive, so let’s get into my Sweden vs Tunisia preview.
Sweden vs. Tunisia: How to Watch and Match Info
- Time: Sunday, June 14 at 10:00 PM ET
- Stadium: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey, Mexico)
- TV Channel: TSN
- Weather: 31.6°C – Intervals of clouds and sunshine with scattered thunderstorms
Sweden vs. Tunisia Group F Match Betting Odds
Sweden come into this one as comfortable -115 favourites, while Tunisia are +340 to pull the upset. The draw is priced at +240 odds. Goals are expected to be in short supply, with under 2.5 goals available at just -164, while over 2.5 is priced at +128.
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Sweden Predicted Starting XI: 3-4-1-2
Nordfeldt
Lagerbielke | Hien | Lindelöf
Johansson | Karlström | Ayari | Gudmundsson
Nygren
Isak | Gyökeres
Tunisia Predicted Starting XI: 4-3-3
Chamakh
Valery | Talbi | Rekik | Abdi
Skhiri | Mejbri | Khedira
Tounkti | Mastouri | Ayari
Sweden FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Sweden enter the tournament with growing optimism under manager Graham Potter after securing a return to the world’s biggest stage. Although they needed to qualify through the European playoffs, the Swedes could emerge as a dark horse if their attacking players hit top form.
Much of the attention will be on Viktor Gyökeres, who arrives at the World Cup after winning the English Premier League with Arsenal. His movement, finishing ability and physical presence make him the focal point of Sweden’s attack. I expect him to be paired with Liverpool striker Alexander Isak up top, who had a difficult season due to injury, but is capable of scoring at any point.
Defensively, Sweden possess valuable tournament experience through captain CB Victor Lindelöf and goalkeeper Kristoffer Nordfeldt. If Sweden can secure three points here, they will put themselves in a strong position before difficult matches against the Netherlands and Japan.
Tunisia FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Tunisia arrive in North America after one of the most impressive qualification campaigns in African soccer. The Eagles of Carthage became the first nation to qualify for the 2026 World Cup without conceding a SINGLE goal during qualifying and once again enter the tournament as a disciplined and difficult team to break down.
Midfielder Ellyes Skhiri remains the heartbeat of the squad. His defensive work rate and leadership will be critical against Sweden’s talented midfield. Hannibal Mejbri brings energy and creativity going forward, while striker Hazem Mastouri and budding stars Khalil Ayari and Sebastian Tounekti offer attacking options capable of punishing mistakes on the counterattack.
Tunisia have developed a reputation for frustrating more talented opponents in major tournaments, and manager Sabri Lamouchi will likely set his side up to stay compact and capitalize on transition opportunities.
Sweden vs. Tunisia Player Odds and Props
Viktor Gyökeres (SWE) to score or assist (-110): Sweden’s leading attacking threat should have multiple scoring opportunities, and scored against Greece in their latest friendly.
Ellyes Skhiri (TUN) 2+ tackles (-145): Tunisia’s midfield leader should be heavily involved defensively as Sweden are expected to enjoy more possession.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
Sweden enter the tournament with ambitions of reaching the knockout rounds, but they could struggle to get out of this group. They carry -200 odds to qualify, but that price seems too short to me.
Tunisia will likely need a positive result here to strengthen their qualification hopes (+140) before facing Japan and the Netherlands later in the group stage. An upset victory over Sweden would dramatically improve their chances of advancing.
Sweden vs. Tunisia Score Prediction
Sweden possess greater attacking quality and more proven match-winners across the pitch. However, Tunisia will remain competitive thanks to their defensive organization. Expect a tight contest where neither squad can net the game-winner.
Final score prediction: Sweden 1 | Tunisia 1