Senegal vs. Iraq Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
This Friday finds an interesting matchup between the two bottom teams in Group I: Senegal and Iraq. Neither is mathematically eliminated, but one will need a massive win over the other to have any hopes of progressing to the Round of 32 in a third-place spot off three points.
Lock in for an exhilarating last round of games for Group I as Senegal takes on Iraq
with kickoff set for 3 p.m. ET.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Senegal vs. Iraq FIFA World Cup: How to Watch and Match Info
June 26, 3 p.m. ET at Toronto Stadium, Toronto, Canada
Streaming on TSN, TSN+
The forecast in the area indicates 22°C temperatures, 65 per cent humidity, and sunny weather.
Senegal vs. Iraq Betting Odds
Senegal comes into this game as massive -425 favourites over Iraq at +1100, although both sides are in extremely similar scenarios. A draw at +550 would eliminate both sides, so you can expect the game to be open and potentially hit over 2.5 goals at -185, with the under 2.5 less likely at +150.
Senegal vs. Iraq Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Senegal predicted starting XI (4-3-3):
– Sadio Mane (LW) – Nicolas Jackson (CF) – Ismaila Sarr (RW) –
Pape Gueye (CM) – Idrissa Gueye (CM) – Lamine Camara(CM)
El Hadji Malick Diouf (LB) – Moussa Niakhate (CB) – Kalidou Koulibaly (CB) –
Krepin Diatta (RB)
— Mory Diaw (GK) —
Senegal (and Iraq) arguably have to deal with one of the toughest groups in the World Cup, succumbing to the might of Kylian Mbappe and France (3-1) in Game 1 and Erling Haaland and Norway (3-2) in Game 2. Despite their losses, they are still scoring and putting up shots, which means they will surely roll out their 4-3-3 lineup with goalkeeper Edouard Mendy swapped for Mory Diaw due to an injury against Norway.
Iraq predicted starting XI (4-5-1):
– Mohanad Ali (ST) –
Ahmed Qasem (LM) – Zidane Iqbal (CDM) – Ali Al-Hamadi (CAM) – Zaid Ismael
(CDM) – Ibrahim Bayesh (RM)
Merchas Doski (LB) – Akam Hashim (CB) – Zaid Tahseen (CB) – Hussein Ali (RB)
— Ahmed Basil (GK) —
Iraq are major underdogs, even against a side with a similar 0-2 record so far in this tournament. The team’s only goalscorer and captain, Aymen Hussein, came off against Norway at 25′ due to an injury and may not start this one for his country. To combat Senegal’s 4-3-3 shape, the Middle Eastern side will put out a 4-5-1 formation with Mohanad Ali replacing his captain, Ali Al-Hamadi playing behind him.
Senegal FIFA World Cup Odds and News
The rightful AFCON winners are struggling to get points this World Cup, but have still scored three total goals against top-quality opponents, including France and Norway. The African side was so close to drawing Norway with 17 shots and six on target, as Ismaila Sarr fell just short of a hat-trick late in the game with a 90+3′ goal.
A significant scoreline win here could be enough to send the Senegalese through as one of the eight third-place teams to qualify. While centre-forward Nicolas Jackson has yet to score this World Cup, he will need to shine here to keep his team’s tournament hopes alive as he comes in as the match’s top anytime scorer at +105 odds.
Iraq FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Iraq is definitely the shakiest team in this tough group after scoring only one goal in their first matchup against Norway, allowing seven goals in total this tournament. To add to their issues, their captain and leading scorer, Aymen Hussein, may sit out for the biggest game of the group stage after being subbed off very early against France.
However, a win for them could still send them through, but Senegal is by no means a weak team, as the African side is sure to find the back of the net against Iraq. That’s not to say, though, that Iraq won’t earn themselves a goal, as Mohanad Ali (and potentially Aymen Hussein if he plays) come in with +475 odds to score anytime.
Senegal vs. Iraq player Odds and Props
Ismaila Sarr (SEN) to score anytime (+145)
Crystal Palace’s main man, Ismaila Sarr, is his team’s leading scorer in this Cup with two goals, and with his team’s life on the line, he’s sure to score against Iraq.
Mohanad Ali (IRQ) to record 1+ shots on target (-110)
Iraq’s substitute striker may finally see more than 13 minutes of play time here, and as the team’s lone striker, will potentially get at least one shot on target.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
Odds to qualify – Senegal (-250), Iraq (-1400)
Odds to win the World Cup – Senegal (+11000), Iraq (+250000)
Senegal vs. Iraq Score Prediction
Senegal is a much higher-quality team than their group stage results show, and with how dire their scenario is to stay in the World Cup, it’s almost certain they will win. Iraq may score, but Senegal has much more depth, experience, and quality players compared to the Middle Eastern side, so expect a 3-1 win for Senegal as they put out the same team as their first two games, aside from a fresh keeper.