Paraguay vs. Australia Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
Group D action in the World Cup comes to a conclusion with two matches late Thursday night Eastern time from a pair of California cities. Here, we look at Paraguay vs. Australia from outside San Francisco, and there is plenty at stake in this compared to the USA-Turkey match from Los Angeles. Paraguay is +185 on the soccer odds with the Aussies +300 and a draw +125.
The United States has won Group D, and Turkey will finish bottom. Both these clubs have three points but Australia is second with a goal differential of even, while Paraguay is at minus-2. The Socceroos will advance with a win or draw and almost surely would even with a loss. Paraguay would need a win to finish second but likely advances as one of the best third-place clubs short of a blowout loss.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Paraguay vs. Australia FIFA World Cup: How to Watch and Match Info
When: Thursday, 10 p.m. ET, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, Calif.
TV: TSN, TSN+
Weather: A few clouds. Low 57F. Winds NW at 10-15 mph.
Paraguay vs. Australia Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Paraguay: Gill (keeper); Cáceres, Gómez, Alderete, Alonso; Maurício, Cubas, Diego Gómez, Galarza; Pitta, Enciso
Australia: Beach (keeper); Italiano, Circati, Souttar, Burgess, Bos; Metcalfe, O’Neill, Okon-Engstler, Irankunda; Touré
Paraguay FIFA World Cup Odds and News
After getting blasted, 4-1, by the USA in the World Cup opener world No. 37 Paraguay faced possible elimination from advancement with another loss last Friday but beat Turkey, 1-0, to eliminate that country.
Matías Galarza had the goal two minutes in, but Paraguay was largely dominated in holding possession only 22 per cent of the time and with 96 accurate passes to a whopping 559 by Turkey, which generated 32 total shots.
Paraguay was down to 10 men in the second half due to a first-half stoppage red-card from midfielder Miguel Almirón, meaning he’s out for this one. He was the first player to be sent off at the World Cup for covering his mouth. It wasn’t originally called on the field, but VAR confirmed it.
Nowadays at the World Cup, players are not allowed to cover their mouths to disguise what they are saying (i.e. racism) during confrontations. It was Paraguay’s third red card in the country’s World Cup history.
Australia FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Don’t expect many people at work or school on Friday in Australia as this match kicks off at noon local time on the country’s east coast. The world No. 26 Socceroos have had a pair of 2-0 results, winning the opener over Turkey and losing the next to the United States. Australia managed only 38 per cent possession against the Americans and committed 16 fouls.
Rising star Nestory Irankunda didn’t start vs USA but helped turn the tide some in the second half and likely starts this one. He did in the opener vs. Turkey and had a goal. However, the Aussies are likely without a key player in forward Mathew Leckie due to injury after getting a knock against the USA. With the Australians likely to advance, it’s expected that Leckie sits and Cristian Volpato starts.
Paraguay vs. Australia Player Odds and Props
Paraguay ‘no’ to have a clean sheet at -190. Nestory Irankunda at least two shots on goal at -185. Total cards over 2.5 at -160.
FIFA World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
To qualify from Group D, Australia is -1400 and Paraguay -800. Both will do so.
Paraguay vs. Australia Score Prediction
Paraguay 1, Australia 1. That is priced +360 on the exact score prop, and it works out well for both sides.