FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Betting Picks for July 4: Jonathan David poised to find the net
The knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is in full swing, with the Round of 16 kicking off Saturday.
It’s a two-game slate on July 4, opening with the Canadian men’s national team playing their biggest game ever against Morocco in Houston, Texas.
The early evening finale will see France continue their quest to reach a third straight World Cup final when they face off against Paraguay in Philadelphia.
Don’t forget to check out Sports Interaction’s complete list of World Cup game odds, World Cup futures and World Cup specials and props.
Canada vs. Morocco
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Time: 1 p.m. ET
How to watch in Canada: TSN, TSN+, CTV, Crave
There’s been no shortage of drama for this Canadian team, who are through to the Round of 16 after a 92nd-minute goal over South Africa. Jonathan David has been the catalyst for this offence, posting a hat trick against Qatar while recording the sixth-most shots (15) in the tournament and the fifth-most shots on target (eight).
Morocco has already made history as the first African nation to win knockout matches at two consecutive World Cups after defeating the Netherlands on penalties. Ismael Saibari is capitalizing on his chances, firing 10 total shots, with all three of his shots on target finding the back of the net.
Canada vs. Morocco betting pick: Jonathan David 2+ shots on target (+310)
Parlay play: Jonathan David 2+ shots on target + both teams to score – yes + game total Over 2.5 (+750)
You can see our full Canada vs. Morocco game preview and score prediction here.
Paraguay vs. France
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Time: 5 p.m. ET
How to watch in Canada: TSN, TSN+, CTV, Crave
Paraguay already knocked off one European giant last round, taking out Germany in an incredibly entertaining penalty shootout. It was one of the biggest knockout upsets in tournament history, with 31 places separating Paraguay (41st) and Germany (10th) in the FIFA world rankings prior to the game.
France looks nearly unbeatable as one of only three teams in this year’s World Cup to win all their games (along with Mexico and Argentina) while scoring a tournament-best 12 goals. To no one’s surprise, it all goes through superstar Kylian Mbappe, who is tied with Argentina’s Lionel Messi for the tournament lead in goals at six apiece.
Paraguay vs. France betting pick: Kylian Mbappe anytime goal (-200)
Parlay play: Kylian Mbappe anytime goal + France (-2) on threeway spread (+190)
You can see our full Paraguay vs. France game preview and score prediction here.