Stars vs. Golden Knights Game 1 Prediction, Stanley Cup Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Sep 05, 2020

vegas knights

The Golden Knights opened as -155 favourites on the NHL odds for Sunday's Game 1, with the Stars at +130. 

Dallas
37-24-5-3
AT
September 06, 2020, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Vegas
39-24-6-2
Puckline +1.5 -170
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +6

46%

Betting Action

54%

Puckline -1.5 +142
Moneyline -140
Over / Under u +6

46%

Betting Action

54%

Vegas and Dallas are both coming off tight Game 7 wins after blowing 3-1 series leads.  The Golden Knights will play in the second Western Conference final in their three-year history, while the Stars will play in the Western Conference final for the first time since 2008.

The Golden Knights opened as -155 favourites on the NHL odds for Game 1, with the Stars at +130.  Puck drop is set to go Sunday at 8 p.m. ET, with the total at 6 goals and the under favoured at -115.

Stars vs. Golden Knights NHL Playoff Odds

The favourite is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams.  The over has gone 7-1 in the Stars last eight games overall, while the under is 4-1 in the Golden Knights last five overall.

Vegas is the favourite to win the series at -227 with Dallas at +180. Oddsmakers have the Golden Knights at +175 to win the Stanley Cup and the Stars at +500.

Dallas Stars

The restart didn’t begin the way the Stars wanted.  They went 1-2 in the seeding round-robin, but have steadily improved as the playoffs have gone on.  They showed dominance at times in their 4-2 first round series win over Calgary.  In the second round Dallas gutted out a tough seven game series against a Colorado Avalanche team many expected to make a deeper run.  It is a credit to their skill they were able to go up 3-1 in that series and a bigger credit to their mental toughness that they were able to win Game 7 in overtime after blowing a 3-1 series lead.

After only scoring four goals in the seeding round, the Stars upped their average to 3.5 goals per game in the Calgary series and 4.0 GPG against Colorado.  The area the Stars need to clean up is a diminishing defensive ability.  They had a stingy defense in the regular season, which held opponents to an average of 2.52 goals per game, but that number has climbed to 3.77 GPG in the playoffs.  There are also questions surrounding the goaltending situation.  Anton Khudobin has been solid, but not spectacular.  Ben Bishop is a better goalie when he is healthy, but the question is how soon do you push Bishop back into the crease?

Miro Heiskanen continues to impress in the playoffs, leading all Stars players with 19 points (5G, 14A), while Denis Gurianov and Joe Pavelski are tied for the team lead in goals with eight.  This series could come down to Khudobin.  Bishop is clearly not healthy enough to play and the Stars are not a deep enough team to beat Vegas without outstanding goaltending.  Likely to get the start in Game 1, Khudobin could be the difference between going to the Stanley Cup final and going home for the Stars.

Vegas Golden Knights

The Golden Knights have been the better team this season.  Vegas has won two of three meetings with Dallas dating back to November and has outscored the Stars 12-7 in that span.  The Golden Knights won the seeding game between these teams 5-3 on August 3 to go 3-0 in the round-robin and lock up the number one seed in the Western Conference.

The Golden Knights have relied on an all-around game, possibly more than any other team, since the restart, with 11 different players contributing at least two goals.  Mark Stone (6G, 9A) and Shea Theodore (5G, 10A) lead the team in points with 15, while Alex Tuch leads in goals with seven.  Robin Lehner should get the start in Game 1 after posting an 8-4 record with a 1.99 GAA and .918 SV in 12 playoff starts, while Fleury is a reliable secondary option after posting a 3-0 record with a 2.67 GAA and .893 SV in three starts.

The Golden Knights are coming off a 4-1 series win over the Chicago Blackhawks in the first round and blew a 3-1 second series lead to the Vancouver Canucks before winning in seven games.  Vegas is the more complete team overall from having two capable net minders to more reliable primary and secondary scoring and a defensive core that is on par, if not better, than the Stars.  The Golden Knights look primed to play in their second Stanley Cup final in three years.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Stars vs. Golden Knights?

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