Stars vs. Avalanche Game 7 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Sep 03, 2020

Michael Hutchinson, Avalanche, 2020

Backstopped by third string goalie Michael Hutchinson, the Avalanche pulled out a 4-1 win on Wednesday to force a deciding Game 7 for Friday.

Dallas
37-24-5-3
AT
September 04, 2020, 4:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Colorado
42-20-7-1
Puckline +1.5 -232
Moneyline +103
Over / Under o +6

32%

Betting Action

68%

Puckline -1.5 +193
Moneyline -124
Over / Under u +6

32%

Betting Action

68%

Could it be déjà vu for a Stars team that blew multiple chances to eliminate the St. Louis Blues last year before losing in double overtime of Game 7 in the second round?

Backstopped by third string goalie Michael Hutchinson, the Avalanche pulled out a 4-1 win on Wednesday to force a deciding Game 7 for Friday. The Avalanche are the slim favourites on the NHL odds at -134 with the Stars at +111.  The total for Game 7 is 6 goals with the under favoured at -115.

Stars vs. Avalanche Betting Analysis

Wednesday night’s Game 6 was the first game this series to not hit the over.  It could still be a good decision to expect some goals in this game, as neither team’s starting goalie will be in net.  The Stars are still relying on backup Anton Khudobin who has played great, but is a backup for a reason, while the Avs are down to their third stringer in Hutchinson after injuries to Philipp Grubauer and Pavel Francouz, earlier in the series.  The over is 8-1 in the Avalanche’s last nine game overall and 6-1 in the Stars’ last seven.

Some statistics of note: The Avalanche have never won a series when trailing 3-1.  Teams that win Games 5 and 6 when trailing 3-1 have a slight edge in Game 7 with a 29-28 record (50.8 per cent).  The Stars have lost their past three Game 7’s, including last year in double overtime of the second round to the eventual champion St. Louis Blues.  The last Game 7 win the Stars had was the 2000 Western Conference finals against the Avalanche.  The Avalanche have lost their last four Game 7’s with their last win coming in the 2002 Western Conference semifinals against the San Jose Sharks.

Dallas Stars

The Stars are in trouble if the top line doesn’t get back on track.  After Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn and Alexander Radulov had a combined 17 points in the first four games of this series, they only managed one point between the three of them over Game 5 and Game 6.  On the flip side of that, Miro Heiskanen, who scored the Stars’ only goal in Game 6, now has 19 points (5G, 14A) and leads all defensemen in playoff scoring.

Discipline is going to be key for the Stars in Game 7.  Dallas gave up five power plays in Game 6 after giving up six in Game 5.  With an offensive lineup as dangerous as the Avalanche, the difference between the conference finals and going home could be staying out of the box for the Stars.

Colorado Avalanche

Nathan MacKinnon’s point streak is now at 14 games and he leads the NHL with 25 points (9G, 16A).  That streak is tied with Mark Messier and Bobby Orr for second longest ever in the playoffs with Bryan Trottier’s 18 game streak in 1981 standing as the record.  Flying somewhat under the radar is Mikko Rantanen who is on a nine game point streak of his own with 20 points (7G, 13A).

Not enough people have been talking about Hutchinson over the past three games of this series.  Since entering Game 4 in relief of Francouz, Hutchinson has stopped 61 of 65 shots, including 27 of 28 shots in Game 6.  With the Avs offense firing on all cylinders, a solid outing by Hutchinson could be key in helping the Avalanche reach the Western Conference final for the first time since 2002.

Who Will Win Stars vs. Avalanche?

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