Panthers vs. Oilers Game 4 Prediction: Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 14, 2024

NHL: Stanley Cup Final-Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

Only one team in NHL history has ever rebounded to successfully come back from trailing 3-0 in the Stanley Cup Final.

Florida
52-24-4-2
AT
June 15, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Edmonton
49-27-5-1
Puckline +1.5 -275
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +5.5

39%

Betting Action

61%

Puckline -1.5 +220
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +5.5

39%

Betting Action

61%

The Florida Panthers are on the brink of winning their first Stanley Cup in franchise history following Thursday’s 4-3 win in Edmonton which gave the Panthers a 3-0 series lead. Can Florida make it a clean sweep in Game 4 on Saturday, or will the Oilers live to fight another day?

Edmonton opened as -125 favourites to win on the NHL odds, with the total set at 5.5.

Panthers vs. Oilers NHL Betting Odds

History isn’t on the Oilers’ side. This is the 29th time in NHL history that a team has taken a 3-0 lead in the Stanley Cup Final and 27 of the previous 28 times, the team with the lead has won the Stanley Cup. The one comeback was in 1942 when the Toronto Maple Leafs rebounded against the Detroit Red Wings.

The stats get even worse for Edmonton when you look at each team’s franchise history. The Oilers have trailed 3-0 in a best-of-seven series five times and they have never come back to win the series. On the flip side, Florida has won all four previous series’ in which they took a 3-0 lead.

Oddsmakers are basically saying this series is over as the Panthers are now -3000 on the series line and the Oilers are +1300. The NHL futures board lists Florida netminder Sergei Bobrovsky as a heavy -500 favourite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy, while Panthers captain Aleksander Barkov is +400 and Edmonton captain Connor McDavid is +1500.

Florida Panthers

It looked dicey at the end of Game 3, but Florida held on as they look to become the first team to sweep the Stanley Cup Final since 1998. Barkov and Sam Reinhart each had a goal and an assist, while Bobrovsky made 32 saves. Vladimir Tarasenko and Sam Bennett also scored in the win. Barkov now leads the team with 21 points (7G, 14A), but it’s been the Panthers’ depth that has really overtaken Edmonton. Florida has nine different players with double digit point totals in the playoffs and they’ve already had nine different goalscorers through three games of the Cup Final.

As good as the Panthers have been as a team, the man between the pipes has easily been the best player in this series and the playoffs as a whole. Bobrovsky is 15-5 in the playoffs with a 2.07 goals-against average, .916 save percentage and two shutouts. The 35-year-old is riding a six-game win streak and he’s stopped 82 of 86 shots faced in the Stanley Cup Final. Bobrovsky looks like a slam-dunk to win the Stanley Cup and the Conn Smythe Trophy.

Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton made it a game on Saturday, scoring two third period goals to give themselves a chance. Unfortunately, it wasn’t enough and they now sit on the verge of elimination. McDavid added two assists to his playoff-leading 34 points (5G, 29A), while Warren Foegele, Philip Broberg and Ryan McLeod scored the Oilers’ goals. Stuart Skinner made 19 saves in net.

Two key things need to change for Edmonton in this series; McDavid and Leon Draisaitl need to produce more offence and the power play needs to get back to an elite level. Technically, McDavid is averaging a point per game in the series, but three assists isn’t good enough. Draisaitl, who has 28 points (10G, 18A) in the playoffs, doesn’t have a point in the series. Both players’ struggles are likely a result of the Oilers’ struggling power play which is 0-for-10 in the series.

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