Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche Game 1 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 31, 2022

The two highest scoring offences through the first two rounds of playoffs are set to go head-to-head in the Western Conference Final as the Colorado Avalanche prepare to host the Edmonton Oilers for Game 1 on Tuesday.

Edmonton
49-27-5-1
AT
May 31, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Colorado
56-19-5-2
Puckline +1.5 -162
Moneyline +151
Over / Under o +7

61%

Betting Action

39%

Puckline -1.5 +135
Moneyline -181
Over / Under u +7

61%

Betting Action

39%

The conference final round kicks off in the West on Tuesday with the Colorado Avalanche holding home ice advantage over the Edmonton Oilers.  Both teams powered their way through the first two rounds of the playoffs with high powered offences led by Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon and Edmonton’s Connor McDavid.  Puck drop for Game 1 will go from Ball Arena in Denver on Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET.

The Avalanche are -167 favourites to win Game 1, with the total set at 7.0 on the NHL odds.

Oilers vs. Avalanche NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

Colorado won two of three regular season meetings between the clubs, but both those victories needed extra time to solve.  The Oilers won the last contest, a 6-3 home decision on April 22.  McDavid had three assists for Edmonton, while MacKinnon had a goal and an assist for the Avalanche.  It was the only one of the three games to hit the Over.

After a tight seven-game series against L.A. in the first round, the Oilers absolutely steamrolled Calgary in five games.  They are now 6-1 straight up across their last seven contests.  They’re averaging a playoff-high 4.33 goals per game, which helped them hit the Over in four of five games in the second-round.  Edmonton enters Game 1 as a +183 series underdog.

Colorado finally snapped a three-year streak of second-round playoff exits against St. Louis.  They come into Tuesday with wins in eight of 10 postseason games this year.  They’re second in the playoffs with 4.30 goals per game, although they’ve only hit the Over in six games this postseason.  The Avalanche opened as -250 favourites to win the series.

The favoured exact series result is for Colorado to win in five games at +305.  The biggest long shot is an Oilers sweep at +1454.  McDavid is +118 to record a point in every game of the series, while MacKinnon is at +201.  To not record a point in every game, McDavid is -164 and MacKinnon is -295.  McDavid had points in six of seven games against L.A. and all five against Calgary.  MacKinnon had points in all four games against Nashville in the first-round, but was held pointless twice in six games against St. Louis in the second-round.

Edmonton Oilers

Can any team in the NHL honestly say they’re not scared of getting torched by McDavid and Leon Draisaitl?  They’re each tied for the playoff lead with an identical seven goals and 19 assists in 12 games.  Draisaitl finished with a staggering 17 points (2G, 15A) in five games against Calgary, while McDavid had 12 points (3G, 9A), including the series winning goal in overtime.  Evander Kane has a team-high 12 goals in the playoffs and he also had a team-high five points (4G, 1A) in three regular season games against the Avalanche.  McDavid had four assists and Draisaitl had two, but neither scored against Colorado in the regular season.

Goaltender Mike Smith is the big question mark for Edmonton.  He’s started every game in the postseason, going 8-3 with a 2.70 goals-against average and .927 save percentage and two shutouts, but he’s also had his struggles.  Smith was pulled in Game 1 against Calgary after allowing five goals on 37 shots.  He was also beaten by an embarrassing floater shot from Calgary’s own end in Game 3.

The key for the Oilers in this series will be for Smith to limit any mistakes and McDavid, Draisaitl and Kane to keep pacing the offence.

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado’s answer to McDavid and Draisaitl is the equally impressive MacKinnon and Cale Makar.  They also share the team-lead in points at 13 apiece (8G, 5A Mackinnon, 3G, 10A Makar) and while the point total is lower than McDavid/Draisaitl, MacKinnon and Makar have had a bigger impact on special teams and the defensive side of the puck.  MacKinnon led the team with five points (3G, 2A) against Edmonton in the regular season, but it’s the depth scoring that gives the Avs the biggest boost.  Gabriel Landeskog (6G, 5A) and Mikko Rantanen (1G, 10A) both have 11 points in the playoffs (6G, 5A), while Nazem Kadri has 10 (5G, 5A) and Devon Toews has eight (4G, 4A).

The Avalanche also have some questions in goal with Darcy Kuemper, who went 2-1-0 with a 2.62 GAA and .921 SV against the Oilers in the regular season.  He’s definitely had some ups-and-downs during the postseason, including missing Game 4 against Nashville after suffering an eye injury.  Kuemper did manage to start every game against St. Louis and has posted a 6-2 record overall in the playoffs, with a 2.44 GAA and .904 SV.  While he hasn’t made some of the blunders Smith has made, he also hasn’t stolen any games, which Smith has managed to do.

For Colorado to win this series they’ll need continued depth scoring and they’ll need Kuemper to lock things down and steal a game or two.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Oilers vs. Avalanche?

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