Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction: NHL Betting Odds

Andrew Rogers | Updated Dec 04, 2018


The Battle of the QEW resumes Tuesday night at KeyBank Center – and the stakes are higher than in previous years as the Toronto Maple Leafs tangle with the suddenly slumping Buffalo Sabres.

December 04, 2018, 7:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
Puckline -1.5 +135
Moneyline -200
Over / Under o +6


Betting Action


Puckline +1.5 -160
Moneyline +165
Over / Under u +6


Betting Action


The Maple Leafs have won four consecutive games and can move into sole possession of second overall in the NHL with a victory. The Sabres got off to a sizzling start but come into this one having lost three in a row.

Maple Leafs vs Sabres Betting Analysis

Buffalo is the underdog here, which isn’t much of a surprise given how both teams have played of late. And the chasm is just as pronounced on the offensive end, with the Leafs having scored 20 goals during their winning streak and the Sabres having scored just three times in their past two games. But Buffalo has won six straight home games, and the host team has prevailed in 26 of the previous 34 meetings between the teams.

Toronto has gone from a strong under play earlier in the seasonto a near-lock on the over, and has been especially profitable in that regard when playing on the road. The Leafs are an incredible 17-6-3 O/U in their previous 26 games away from Scotiabank Arena. And while the Sabres have gone below the total in each of their previous four games, the teams have combined to go 5-1 to the over in their last six head-to-head encounters.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nothing in life and hockey is certain, but the Maple Leafs winning when carrying a lead into the first or second intermission is as close to an automatic lock as you can get. Toronto has an unbelievable success rate when jumping out in front, having gone 12-0-0 when leading after one period and 14-0-0 when ahead after two. The payout might not be a strong one, but bettors should strongly consider taking the Leafs to prevail if they lead at either break.

Buffalo Sabres

You can also point to the Leafs having gone 13-0-0 when scoring first as a major area of concern for the Sabres – but as fate would have it, they’re the only other team in the NHL without a regulation loss when opening the scoring. Buffalo comes into this one having gone 12-0-3 when scoring first, making it quite likely that whichever team jumps ahead 1-0 will go on to win. Bettors should consider this when making their pre-game wagers.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction