Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated May 08, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning look to avoid posting consecutive losses for the first time in 52 playoff game appearances when they battle the Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday in Game 4 of their NHL first round playoff series.

May 08, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay
Puckline +1.5 -217
Moneyline +116
Over / Under o +6.5


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +181
Moneyline -140
Over / Under u +6.5


Betting Action


The Lightning handed home ice advantage back to Toronto with a 5-2 loss in Game 3, and now trail 2-1 in the series. The Maple Leafs withstood a ferocious third-period assault in Friday’s win, thanks largely to the spectacular play of goaltender Jack Campbell, and have now won four of five road playoff contests.

The Maple Leafs have garnered the support of just 46 per cent of sports bettors ahead of Sunday night’s contest, and currently sit as +102 underdogs on the NHL odds. However, the Maple Leafs have reclaimed the edge on the NHL playoff series prices, perched as -250 chalk. The Lightning are pegged as -122 favourites to rebound with a win on Sunday night, but lag on the series prices as +199 longshots, and a short +265 wager to be eliminated in five games. The total is favoured to go UNDER 6.5 with -122 odds.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL Betting Odds

Sunday night’s Game 4 matchup at Amalie Arena marks the eighth overall meeting of the season between these Atlantic Division rivals. The two clubs split four games during the regular season. Neither team has mustered consecutive wins so far this season, with each of their past six clashes getting decided by multi-goal margins. However, the Leafs have claimed victory in four of five visits to Tampa Bay. The OVER has paid out in five of their past six tilts, and in six of eight matchups in Tampa Bay.

Friday’s defeat snapped a steady 7-1-0 run for the Lightning on home ice, and also marked the first time the club has allowed five or more goals at home since dropping a 6-2 decision to Toronto on April 4. The Lightning have come back strong from recent playoff defeats, averaging 4.38 goals over their past eight contests immediately following a playoff loss. They have also blanked opponents five times over in their past 10 outings immediately following a playoff loss. The Leafs aim to win consecutive playoff games on the road for just the second time in four years, and claim consecutive road wins in a series for the just the second time since 2013.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Campbell stood tall amid a 14-shot third period onslaught to steal the win in Game 3. The Leafs netminder has stopped 85 of 92 total shots faced in the series, and has not been tagged with a regulation loss on the road since Feb. 10. Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews have led the attack up front, combining for four goals and 11 assists in the series. Conversely, John Tavares and William Nylander have tallied just one point and a combined -3 rating.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Ondrej Palat is coming off a steady one-goal, two-point performance in Game 3, ending a four-game scoring drought. However, the Lightning’s big guns have largely remained silent. Steven Stamkos, Brayden Point, and Nikita Kucherov have contributed just two goals on 24 total shots so far in the series, and sport a combined -14 rating. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy has now surrendered three or more goals in seven of nine outings, and earned the win in just two of his past seven home appearances.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?