Stars vs. Lightning Game 6 Prediction, Stanley Cup Final Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Sep 27, 2020

Anton Khudobin, Stars, 2020

Stanley Cup Game Six is set for Monday night. Tampa Bay remains the favourite with oddsmakers listing them as -180 to close the series out. The total is still five.

Tampa Bay
43-21-5-1
AT
September 28, 2020, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Dallas
37-24-5-3
Puckline -1.5 +140
Moneyline -195
Over / Under o +5

64%

Betting Action

36%

Puckline +1.5 -168
Moneyline +160
Over / Under u +5

64%

Betting Action

36%

“We’re not going home” has become the Dallas Stars’ mantra in the bubble and for good reason as they found a way to take Game 5 in double overtime. Corey Perry’s second of the game is what kept the Stars alive, despite Dallas recording six shots in the overtimes.

After back-to-back meetings, Game 6 is somewhat of a restart of this Stanley Cup Final. If the Stars win again Monday, the pressure on the Tampa Bay Lightning would be at an all-time high.

Lightning vs. Stars Betting Analysis

Tampa Bay did a lot right Saturday night, and were seven minutes away from winning the Cup. But Joe Pavelski’s 13th of the postseason, and Perry’s heroics later, put any celebration on hold.

The Lightning have a one-goal edge over the Stars this series, outscoring them 16-15 through five games. The 6.2 goal per game average has allowed the over to stand at 2-0-3 in the final.

Tampa Bay remains the favourite in Game 6 with oddsmakers listing them as -180 to close the series out. The total is still five.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Going into Game 6, Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy’s save percentage this series is a mediocre .896, which isn’t lining up with Tampa’s 2.38 goals against average this postseason. So the Stars aren’t peppering the Bolts’ all-star goalie, but making the most of their shots on net.

With Steven Stamkos out for the remainder of the series, Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point continue to lead Tampa’s offensive attack. Point recorded his 31st and 32nd points with two assists Saturday, while Kucherov registered an assist himself for his league-leading 33rd point.

Jon Cooper’s team is now in an eerily similar spot. In Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Final, Tampa Bay heavily outplayed the New York Islanders but fell in double overtime, eliminating the Islanders the following game. Does the same outcome happen Monday?

Dallas Stars

It may not be the goals he’s known for, but the points are rolling in for Tyler Seguin as of late after a three-assist game Saturday. Seguin’s got five assists in his last two games, but still hasn’t scored since Game 3 against the Colorado Avalanche on August 26.

So far in the Stanley Cup Final, when Anton Khudobin records under a .950 save percentage, Dallas losses. It’s a tall task for the breakout goaltender, but in his three losses this series Khudobin’s numbers go way down with a combined .863 save percentage.

Dallas is going through some more injury troubles heading into Monday, with Blake Comeau and Roope Hintz listed as unfit to play and defenceman Andrej Sekera a game-time decision.

Who Will Win Lightning vs. Stars?

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