Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, NHL Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated Apr 05, 2024

The late season playoff push for the Pittsburgh Penguins continues when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning Sunday afternoon.

Tampa Bay
April 06, 2024, 1:00 PM ET
Puckline -1.5 +200
Moneyline -115
Over / Under o +5.5
Puckline +1.5 -250
Moneyline -105
Over / Under u +5.5

A 5-0-1 run since the final week of March has got the Penguins within a couple points of the East’s final playoff spot, which is still the logjam it’s been for the last few months. Tampa Bay’s cleared that logjam and hold the top Wild-Card spot by a comfortable amount, but are just two points back of Toronto for third in the Atlantic Division albeit with one more game played.

Puck drop at PPG Paints Arena gets going at 1 p.m. EDT with the oddsmakers listing this tilt as a pick’em, and the over-under at six on the NHL odds.

Lightning vs. Penguins NHL Betting Odds

Sunday decides the season series between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh, currently tied at one apiece. The under hit in both Lightning–Penguins contests earlier this season, which doesn’t line up with the other history between these teams — seven of the last nine Lightning–Penguins contests played in Pittsburgh have finished over the total.

Over a current six-game point streak the Penguins have scored no fewer than three goals each game. The Penguins still rank 21st in the NHL in scoring so the consistent scoring is all that was needed to get a late run going. And some stellar goaltending from Alex Nedeljkovic, who’s yet to lose in regulation since February 9 and is now Pittsburgh’s number one.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning are on the cusp of clinching a playoff spot, so outside their own race with Toronto for third in the Atlantic Division the most interesting race in Tampa is Nikita Kucherov’s to finish as the NHL’s top scorer. A three-point night on Thursday got Kucherov back in the lead with 133 points in 75 games this season. Kucherov’s got multiple points in three of his last four outings.

The Lightning are in a serious groove as the post-season approaches, but what else is new. Last month they put together a nine-game point streak, and after a regulation loss Monday the Lightning have gone on to win two straight contests by three goals. 

Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to start in net. Vasilevskiy’s coming off his best month of the season, going 8-1-1 with a .915 save percentage.

Pittsburgh Penguins

On Thursday the Penguins faced their biggest game of the season so far, and then Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin went point-less after carrying a struggling squad back into contention. But for once the depth on the Pens stepped up as Ryan Shea, Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Michael Bunting, and Lars Eller all found the back of the net in a 4-1 victory at Washington. Shea, acquired in the Jake Guentzel trade with Carolina last month, tallied both his first NHL goal and point. 

Prior to Thursday Crosby had at least two points in five of six games and is now up to a team-high 84 points. While the 36-year-old is still a ways away from Kucherov numbers, if Pittsburgh is to make the playoffs alongside Crosby’s late-season tear he’s going to once again be in Hart Memorial Trophy conversation.

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