Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Game 2 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 16, 2022

Can the Colorado Avalanche build a 2-0 series lead in Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final on Saturday, or will the defending Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay Lightning respond and tie the series?

Tampa Bay
51-23-3-5
AT
June 18, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Colorado
56-19-5-2
Puckline +1.5 -228
Moneyline +115
Over / Under o +6

68%

Betting Action

32%

Puckline -1.5 +190
Moneyline -138
Over / Under u +6

68%

Betting Action

32%

The Colorado Avalanche struck first against the Tampa Bay Lightning with a 4-3 overtime win in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final on Wednesday.  The Avs will look to add to that series lead when they host the Bolts in Game 2 on Saturday, but Tampa has a big opportunity to tie the series heading home for Games 3 and 4.

Colorado opened as a -158 favourite to win on the NHL odds, with a total of 6.0.

Lightning vs. Avalanche NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

This has been an incredibly tight head-to-head series over the last couple of years, with the last four games being decided by a single goal, three of which needed extra time to solve.  The high scoring offences of both teams have led to the Over hitting in five of the last six games.

Despite the Game 1 loss, the Lighting have actually been fairly successfully in Denver, going 5-2 straight up in their last seven games at Ball Arena.  Wednesday’s game was also an outlier for the total as it broke a five-game Under streak.  Tampa Bay now heads into Game 2 as a +204 underdog to win the series after opening Game 1 at +147.

Colorado extended their winning streak to six games and come into Game 2 with 13 wins in their last 17 home games.  They’ve hit the Over in six of their last nine games overall and eight of their last 12 against Eastern Conference opponents.  The Avalanche are -286 favourites to win the series.  They opened Game 1 at -200 on the series line.

Tampa Bay Lightning

This is a veteran Lightning team that knows the Stanley Cup Final is a race to four wins, so don’t expect them to panic about a Game 1 loss.  It’s actually the third time in four playoff rounds this year that they’ve dropped the first game of a series.  Nick Paul, Ondrej Palat and Mikhail Sergachev scored for Tampa, while Andrei Vasilevskiy made 34 saves in net.  Vasilevskiy allowed more than two goals in the first period for the first time in 99 career playoff games as the Bolts trailed 3-1 after one.

Tampa Bay did get a big boost to the lineup with the return of Brayden Point, who missed the previous 10 games with a lower-body injury.  Point, who was Tampa’s second-leading scorer in each of the two last postseasons, recorded an assist in just under 18 minutes of ice time.  Potentially a major reason for the loss was the Lighting’s failure to capitalize on the man advantage as they went 0-for-3 on the night.  Colorado went 1-for-3.  Tampa Bay, however, is known to make adjustments and improve later in series’. The Bolts also lost Game 1 of the 2020 “bubble” Final, before going on to defeat Dallas in six games.

Colorado Avalanche

Game 1 was much more important to win for Colorado than Tampa Bay.  They preserved home ice advantage and with a less experienced playoff team, it should provide a confidence boost and calm the team’s nerves.  Captain Gabriel Landeskog opened the scoring for the Avalanche, while Valeri Nichushkin and Artturi Lehkonen also scored in regulation.  Andre Burakovsky, who is one of only two Colorado players to have won a Stanley Cup, was the overtime hero.  The Avs have won Game 1 in all four rounds of these playoffs and have gone 13-2 when scoring first in the game.  Teams that win Game 1 hold a series record of 62-20 (75.6 per cent) in a best-of-7 Stanley Cup Final, including 49-10 (83.1 per cent) when they win it at home.

Darcy Kuemper made 20 saves on Wednesday in his first game since suffering an undisclosed injury in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final on May 31.  Forwards Nazem Kadri (right thumb) and Andrew Cogliano (right hand) both remained out of the lineup in Game 1 and are listed as day-to-day.  Cogliano looks closer to returning than Kadri, but it’s doubtful either player is ready for Game 2.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Avalanche?

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