It only took 31 seconds for Radulov to get the winner on Thursday night, moving Dallas one step closer to their first Stanley Cup final in 20 years. The Golden Knights are the slim favourites for Game 4 at -167 on the NHL odds, with the Stars at +139. The total is 5.5 with the under favoured at -139. Puck drop is 8 p.m. ET.

Golden Knights vs. Stars Betting Analysis

The Golden Knights must be frustrated after outshooting the Stars 40-23 in the game, including 18-4 in the third period. The problem with overtime is you only need one shot to win.

Both goalies have been on top of their game through the first three games of this series and it shows as the under is 3-0. The under is now 6-0 in the Golden Knights’ last six games against teams with a winning record. Vegas is 11-2 in their last 13 games when scoring two or less goals the previous game, but they are only 1-5 in their last six games playing on one day rest. The Stars are 2-8 in their last 10 games after allowing two or less goals the previous game.

Vegas Golden Knights

Anton Khudobin did his part in Game 3, stopping 38 shots, but the difference was the big players for Dallas finally stepping up. Goals from Jamie Oleksiak and Jamie Benn (Benn’s first goal in five games) put the Stars in overtime and Alexander Radulov sealed the deal on the first shot of the extra period. Half of Radulov’s eight post-season goals this year are game winners, including two overtime goals.

The main concern for the Stars has to be generating shot attempts. Khudobin can’t bail them out every night; Dallas needs their top players in top form. Radulov seems like a man on a mission this year, but Benn and Tyler Seguin are too inconsistent to swing the series fully in the Stars’ favour. If their top line can start consistently generating offense, Dallas has a great shot to win this series.

Dallas Stars

Riding back-to-back shutouts in his last two starts, Robin Lehner’s 20 saves were not enough in Game 3. The Oleksiak goal was the first goal Lehner allowed in 171:27, dating back to Game 6 of the Vancouver series. Shea Theodore and Mark Stone were the only goal scorers for the Golden Knights, but it wasn’t due to lack of effort from the rest of the team. Vegas outshot the Stars by 17, including 14 in the third period.

Despite the Game 3 loss, there shouldn’t be many adjustments for Vegas in Game 4. They’re generating offense and dominating the Stars in shots, averaging almost 10 shots more per game through the post season. It’s only a matter of time before the floodgates open and the Golden Knights start scoring.

NHL Predictions: Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Stars?

GOLDEN KNIGHTS

Away

4

STARS

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