Stars vs. Golden Knights Game 3 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Sep 09, 2020

Robin Lehner, Golden Knights, 2020

The Golden Knights found their scoring touch and Robin Lehner secured his fourth shutout of the playoffs as Vegas earned a 3-0 win over the Stars on Tuesday to tie their Western Conference Final series 1-1.

Vegas
39-24-6-2
AT
September 10, 2020, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Dallas
37-24-5-3
Puckline -1.5 +147
Moneyline -171
Over / Under o +5.5

63%

Betting Action

37%

Puckline +1.5 -177
Moneyline +143
Over / Under u +5.5

63%

Betting Action

37%

The roles were reversed in Game 2 with the Stars looking sluggish and the Golden Knights looking more like the dominant team they have been all season.  Vegas comes into Thursday’s Game 3 as a -170 favourite with Dallas at +145.  The total for Game 3 is 5.5 with the under favoured at -135.  Puck drop is 8 p.m. ET.

Golden Knights vs. Stars Betting Analysis

Defense has been key between these teams in the past, as the under has gone 5-2-1 in their last eight meetings, while it is 5-0 in the Golden Knights’ last five games overall.

The favourite is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams, while the Golden Knights are 7-2 in the last nine against the Stars.  The Stars are 6-1 in their last seven games when their opponent scores two or less goals the previous game.

Vegas is at +170 on the NHL odds to win the Stanley Cup, while Dallas is +700.

Vegas Golden Knights

Robin Lehner continues to prove himself after picking up his fourth shutout in 13 playoff games this year.  Lehner has now gone over 131 minutes without allowing a goal.  Putting 19 shots on net in the second period, Vegas was able to dominate the middle frame, which saw goals from Paul Statsny, William Karlsson and Tomas Nosek.  Statsny’s goal was actually the first non-empty net goal by a Vegas forward since Game 4 of the Vancouver Canucks series, a span of 276 minutes.

The key to the Golden Knights’ success is their transition game.  They are a fast team that can quickly transition to a quick rush up the ice on turnovers and they like to aggressively stand up attacking opponents at their own blue line.  If Vegas can get more forwards to start scoring and Lehner continues his strong play, this series might end quicker than the Stars would like.

Dallas Stars

The Stars looked more like their regular season selves in Game 2 and that is not a good thing as they finished the regular season with an average of 2.58 goals per game, 26th in the league.  It looked like things were starting to turn around in the playoffs when the Stars scored 49 goals in 13 games against the Calgary Flames and Colorado Avalanche, averaging 3.77 GPG, but they have only managed a single goal in the first two games of this series.  They have now gone 48 straight shots without scoring.  Starting goalie Ben Bishop’s injury looks like it is beginning to hurt the Stars as Anton Khudobin was average at best in Game 2, allowing three goals on 27 shots.  An interesting side note of that is after pulling Khudobin between the second and third periods, 21-year-old Jake Oettinger became the first goalie in NHL history to make their NHL debut in the Conference Final, stopping all five shots he faced.

The Stars can win this series, but they have key areas they need to focus on.  They were thrown around in the faceoff circle in Game 2, losing 11 of the first 12 faceoffs in the second period.  Taking down this strong Vegas team will require the Stars to limit their mistakes, forecheck aggressively and start winning faceoffs.

Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Stars?

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