Golden Knights vs. Stars Game 5 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Nik Kowalski | Updated May 01, 2024

A best of three will now decide the Vegas Golden Knights and Dallas Stars’ first-round playoff series, starting Wednesday evening at Dallas.

Vegas
45-29-6-2
AT
May 01, 2024, 7:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-21-7-2
Puckline +1.5 -190
Moneyline +135
Over / Under o +5.5
Puckline -1.5 +155
Moneyline -160
Over / Under u +5.5

The Stars earned back home ice advantage with a pair of gutsy road wins at Vegas and it’s continued the trend of the away team winning every game in this series. 

Dallas, the Western Conference’s top seed, has flexed their muscles to climb back into a 2-2 tie in this series and the comeback’s been led by Wyatt Johnston. The 20-year-old led Dallas in the regular season with 32 goals and picked up three in the pair of wins at Vegas. But if this series, as well as the Stanley Cup Playoffs have taught us anything… it’s never to count out Vegas.

Puck drop for Game 5 at American Airlines Center goes at 7:30 p.m. EDT with the Stars a -160 moneyline favourite back on home ice and the total at 5.5 on the NHL odds.

Golden Knights vs. Stars NHL Betting Odds

Dallas’ back-to-back wins have turned the series odds in their favour as NHL oddsmakers currently have the Stars a -160 favourite to advance in the series. If you took the Stars to advance ahead of Game 3 you could have got +350 odds, and Dallas in six games was +1150 then but +220 now. But let’s not look at the past any longer.

The road team is 4-0 this series and in three straight games the home team has scored two or fewer times. The over-under split is even in the series but both goalies are playing stellar (and only getting better); Logan Thompson’s .921 save percentage is keeping Vegas alive right now. The Golden Knights are also a perfect 5-0 in their last five visits to Dallas.

Vegas Golden Knights

In a close series, Vegas needs more from several key offensive producers. The top line of Jack Eichel, Jonathan Marchessault, and Ivan Barbashev has pulled their weight all series but the ineffectiveness of other three forward lines forced Bruce Cassidy to break up his top guns. At the end of Game 4 Monday, Tomas Hertl had gone up to line one with Eichel and Marchessault and Barbashev down to line two with Chandler Stephenson and Mark Stone.

Eichel’s scored in three straight games and has six points in four games this series. Marchessault has two goals and two assists, and Barbashev three assists. After these three, five other Vegas forwards have a point and five remain without any points. The pointless Golden Knights include William Karlsson and Anthony Mantha up front, and Shea Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo on defence. How much longer can Vegas keep this up and still win games?

Dallas Stars

Wyatt Johnston will be old enough to go out in Vegas on May 14, but the 20-year-old is already celebrating a breakout playoffs with three goals in these past two games in the Sin City. Dallas continued to juggle their lines in Game 4, as Johnston ended the night centring Jamie Benn and Logan Stankoven. The moves paid off as by game’s end the Stars technically had goal-scorers from each line in Johnston, Evgenii Dadonov, Ty Dellandrea, and Roope Hintz.

Perhaps the most important factor in Dallas’ turnaround has been Jake Oettinger. The Stars’ goalie has turned away 32 shots each in back-to-back wins and posted save percentages above .920 three consecutive times. Everything’s coming up roses for Dallas to steal this series back.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Stars?

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