Vegas Golden Knights vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 4 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 19, 2021

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The Montreal Canadiens continue to surprise and lead the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in their Stanley Cup semifinal playoff series.

Vegas
40-14-0-2
AT
June 20, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
Montreal
24-21-8-3
Puckline -1.5 +159
Moneyline -165
Over / Under o +5.5

51%

Betting Action

49%

Matchup NHL Odds
Puckline +1.5 -191
Moneyline +137
Over / Under u +5.5

51%

Betting Action

49%

Matchup NHL Odds

Yet, the Knights are heavy favourites (again) for Game 4 at the Bell Centre on Sunday with a total of five goals.

Golden Knights vs. Canadiens Stanley Cup Odds

Interesting that oddsmakers continue to list Vegas as such a big favourite despite losing two straight in the series. But, again, betting action plays a big role and the Knights are “supposed” to be the better team. On the updated series line, Vegas is -139 and Montreal +112. The favoured exact result is Knights in seven at +179. The long shot is Montreal in five at +696.

Depending on what happens here, it could be Montreal’s last home game vs. Vegas until the 2021-22 regular season – when, presumably, full fan attendance will be allowed. The Knights would visit Bell Centre just the once next season as a Western Conference team. They still have never won there, going 0-4 following Friday’s 3-2 OT loss.

Vegas Golden Knights

Perhaps don’t get too confident yet, Habs fans. Vegas lost back-to-back games in the first round of these playoffs vs. Minnesota and then claimed Game 7. In the second round, the Knights lost the first two games vs. Colorado and won the next four. Vegas was the better team in the 3-2 loss in Game 3 vs. Montreal. Quebec native and netminder Marc-Andre Fleury, a future Hall of Famer, frankly made blunder late in regulation that would lead to the late tying goal.

The Knights outshot the Canadiens 45-27 on Thursday. One problem has been the power play. Vegas was 0-for-4 with the man advantage and is just 4-for-38 in these playoffs, which is 10.5 per cent. No team has won the Stanley Cup in the last 30 years with a power-play rating under 11 per cent. Top-line centre Chandler Stephenson missed his second in a row with an upper-body injury and presumably won’t be playing here as he reportedly didn’t even travel with the team and there are COVID restrictions. Vegas is 19-7 in its past 26 as a road favourite.

Montreal Canadiens

As noted above, Montreal probably didn’t deserve to win Game 3, but Josh Anderson’s second goal of these playoffs off Marc-Andre Fleury’s mistake tied it 2-2 at 18:05 of the third, and Anderson won it at 12:53 of OT. Yet Anderson was only the third star, oddly. He hadn’t had a multi-goal game since April 21 in Edmonton and became the ninth player in league history to score a tying goal within the final two minutes of regulation in a playoff game and the winning goal in overtime. It was only the fifth time in the past 30 years that the Habs scored a game-tying goal within the final two minutes of regulation in a post-season game.

Carey Price was the No. 1 star with 43 saves. It was his fifth time making at least 40 saves in a playoff game. The franchise record is seven by Hall of Famer Ken Dryden. Rookie Cole Caufield (second of playoffs) had the other goal. That’s five straight games with a point for Caulfield. Only two Montreal rookies have reached six: Shayne Corson in 1987 and Howie Morenz in 1924. The Habs are 1-8 in their past nine on Sunday.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Golden Knights vs. Canadiens?

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NHL Predictions
  • VEG
  • -165 +137
  • MON
Matchup NHL Odds