Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers Game 3 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 22, 2022

The Battle of Alberta shifts to Edmonton for Game 3 on Sunday night as the Oilers and Flames each look to break the tie in this second-round playoff series.

Calgary
50-21-9-2
AT
May 22, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
Edmonton
49-27-5-1
Puckline -1.5 +222
Moneyline -102
Over / Under o +6.5

40%

Betting Action

60%

Puckline +1.5 -269
Moneyline -119
Over / Under u +6.5

40%

Betting Action

60%

After dropping a wild opening game of their second-round playoff series against the Calgary Flames, the inconsistent performance of the Edmonton Oilers swung back to the positive with a 5-3 Game 2 win on Friday.  The Oilers will look to break the series tie when they host Calgary for Game 3 on Sunday.

This game is hovering right around a pick’em on the NHL odds, with a total of 7.0.

Flames vs. Oilers NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

This has been an extremely high scoring head-to-head, so taking the Over on the 7.0 goal total may not be as risky as it seems.  The teams have hit the Over in five of six total games this year, including both games of this playoff series.  The Flames actually put up nine goals on Edmonton in back-to-back games prior to the loss in Game 2.  It’s also worth noting that home cooking has been key as the road team has lost eight of the last 10 games.

Hitting the road hasn’t been good for Calgary as they’ve dropped four of their last five games away from the Saddledome and six of their last seven in Edmonton.  This is a high scoring team, with the total going Over in their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.  The Flames sit as -172 favourites to win the series.

With the series shifting back to Rogers Place for Games 3 and 4, this is a huge opportunity for the Oilers as they’re 16-3 in their last 19 home games.  Edmonton has jumped to +130 underdogs on the series line.

The favoured exact series result sees this going the distance, with the Flames winning in seven games at +284.  The biggest long shot is the Oilers winning in five games at +798.

Calgary Flames

Special teams was a big issue for Calgary in Game 2 as they gave up a power play goal and a shorthanded goal and played shorthanded for nearly 11 minutes.  It’s been a surprising turnaround for the Flames who boasted the third best scoring defence in the NHL during the regular season, holding opponents to 2.51 goals per game.  They also averaged just 2.00 goals per game allowed in their seven-game first-round series against Dallas.  They’ve now given up 11 total goals through two games of this second-round series.  The team is clearly missing shutdown defenceman Chris Tanev, who hasn’t played since Game 6 of the first-round due to an undisclosed injury.  He isn’t expected to play on Sunday.

Michael Stone, Brett Ritchie and Tyler Toffoli had the Calgary goals on Friday.  Jacob Markstrom allowed five goals on 40 shots faced.  The Flames led 3-1 early in the second period before allowing four unanswered goals.  The team has struck early in both games of this series.  Calgary set a record with the fastest two goals to start a playoff series in Game 1, scoring twice within 51 seconds and they struck early in Game 2, scoring 63 seconds into the game.

Edmonton Oilers

Use whatever cliche you want for Connor McDavid, but he’s clearly a man on a mission.  After having a goal called off in the second-period of Game 2, McDavid put the puck in the net again just 32 seconds later and finished the game with a goal and an assist.  McDavid, who has produced multi-point efforts in five straight games, leads the playoffs with 20 points (6G, 14A) in nine games.  Just like he was for most of the regular season, Leon Draisaitl is second with 15 points (7G, 8A).  Draisaitl, Duncan Keith, Evan Bouchard and Zach Hyman also scored in Game 2.  Mike Smith rebounded from a brutal Game 1 performance with 37 saves on 40 shots in Game 2.

The biggest concern for the Oilers is clearly on the defensive side of the puck.  They managed to blow Game 1 despite scoring six goals, which is a recipe for disaster in the series.  Equally concerning is the health of Draisaitl, who is playing through a high ankle sprain.  A fast start and a stronger defensive effort will be key in Game 3.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Flames vs. Oilers?

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