Montreal Canadiens vs. Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Jun 22, 2021

NHL: Vegas at Montreal Canadiens

The past three games in this series have been decided by one goal, and it’s now tied at 2 as it shifts back to Las Vegas for Game 5 on Tuesday night. The Knights are heavy favourites.

Montreal
24-21-8-3
AT
June 22, 2021, 9:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
Vegas
40-14-0-2
Puckline +1.5 -156
Moneyline +173
Over / Under o +5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Puckline -1.5 +130
Moneyline -208
Over / Under u +5

52%

Betting Action

48%

The total is set at 5.0 goals.

Canadiens vs. Golden Knights Stanley Cup Odds

On the puckline for Game 5, Vegas is +126 at -1.5 goals and Montreal is -151 at +1.5. The over five goals is a -136 favourite. No games in this series have had more than five goals scored with three of the four landing right on that number.

Vegas is a -303 favourite on the updated series line with Montreal +225. The series correct score odds are Knights in six at +122, in seven at +224, Canadiens in six at +437 and Habs in six at +551. I’m leaning Vegas in seven. That the series ends in Game 7 is -115 and Game 6 -125. To win the Cup, Vegas is a +138 favourite and Montreal a +545 long shot.

When a best-of-seven series is tied 2-2, the winner of Game 5 holds an all-time record of 217-58. In the conference semifinals/finals round, that record for the Game 5 winner is 47-15.

Montreal Canadiens

Montreal had been 6-0 in these playoffs when leading after two periods and a league-best 7-1 in one-goal games but lost Game 4 at home Sunday, 2-1 in overtime. Carey Price allowed the tying goal about midway through the third and the winner just 1:18 into overtime. He only faced 21 shots overall. Paul Byron gave the Habs a 1-0 lead at 18:55 of the second, his third goal of this post-season.

One major bright spot was Montreal not allowing a power-play goal for the 11th straight game – that’s a league playoff record. The team has killed off the last 27 penalties in a row. Interim coach Dominique Ducharme remains away from the team after testing positive for COVID. As of this writing, 24 games have required overtime in these playoffs, four shy of the record 28 set in 1993 and last year. Montreal is 5-1 in its past six road games.

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas coach Peter DeBoer made the fairly shocking decision to bench future Hall of Fame goalie Marc-Andre Fleury for Game 4 and go with Robin Lehner. He’s a good player but had played only four games over the previous 50 days and allowed seven goals in his lone playoff start, Game 1 of the second round vs. Colorado. Lehner was up to the task Sunday with 27 saves, and we presume he would start again in Game 5 but bettors may have to wait to see whom the first goalie off the ice will be in Tuesday morning’s skate.

Brayden McNabb’s first goal of the playoffs tied Sunday’s game at 10:37 of the third period and Nicolas Roy’s fourth early in OT won it. Roy is from Amos, Quebec, and he became the 11th Quebec-born player to score a playoff OT goal against the Canadiens and third to do it in Montreal. Vegas is 10-3 in its past 13 after scoring two goals or fewer in its previous game.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Canadiens vs. Golden Knights?

SportsInteraction