Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Game 6 Prediction: Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 01, 2024

NHL: Stanley Cup Playoffs-Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

The Toronto Maple Leafs staved off elimination on Tuesday, but they remain heavy underdogs on the series line as they prepare to host the Boston Bruins for Game 6 on Thursday.

Boston
47-20-12-3
AT
May 02, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
Toronto
46-26-8-2
Puckline -1.5 +200
Moneyline -130
Over / Under o +5.5

0%

Betting Action

43%

Puckline +1.5 -250
Moneyline +110
Over / Under u +5.5

0%

Betting Action

43%

It was a couple of rookies who saved the day for Toronto in Boston on Tuesday, with the Leafs coming out on top 2-1 in overtime. Still trailing 3-2 in the series, Toronto will look to push things to a Game 7 when they host the Bruins on Thursday.

The Leafs opened as slim -115 favourites to win Game 5, with the total set at 5.5 on the NHL odds.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs NHL Betting Odds

Talk about deja vu as Toronto and Boston are inching towards a very familiar playoff scenario. If the Leafs win Game 6, it will be an exact repeat of 2013 and 2017 when the Bruins held home ice advantage in the first-round with 3-1 series leads only to see Toronto force a deciding Game 7 both times. That’s the positive for the Leafs, the negative is Boston won each of those Game 7s and they also beat Toronto in seven games in 2018.

The series line continues to significantly yo-yo on the NHL futures board. After the series opened as nearly a pick’em prior to Game 1, the Bruins were massive -1200 favourites to win before Tuesday’s contest and the Leafs were +750 underdogs. Dentering Game 6, Boston is still favoured to win, but they’ve dropped to -400 while Toronto is +310.

Boston Bruins

The Bruins got off to a slow start on Tuesday after being outshot 11-2 in the first period. Both teams scored in the opening frame, with Trent Frederic‘s second goal of the series tying the score at one. It was all the offence Boston could muster and they went scoreless on their only power play of the game. Captain Brad Marchand has driven the offence with a team-high eight points (3G, 5A) in the series, but David Pastrnak‘s lack of production is starting to be noticeable. Pastrnak, who had 47 goals in the regular season, has scored just twice in the playoffs and he’s been limited to four points. “Pasta” finding his offensive touch would go a long way to helping Boston avoid blowing a 3-1 series lead two years in a row.

Jeremy Swayman made his third straight start for the Bruins in Game 5, stopping 31 of 33 shots faced. Despite the loss, Swayman has been great in the series. The 25-year-old has posted a 1.49 goals-against average and .952 save percentage in four games. It’s unclear if Boston will go back to the goalie rotation they have used all year and start Linus Ullmark in Game 6. In his only appearance of the series, Ullmark stopped 31 of 34 shots faced in a 3-2 Game 2 loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs

As mentioned, it was two rookies who saved Toronto’s season on Tuesday. Matthew Knies scored the OT winner and Joseph Woll turned aside 27 of 28 shots faced in net. Jake McCabe opened the scoring just over five minutes into the game. Woll got the start ahead of Ilya Samsonov, who looked shaky in the first four games of the series. It was Woll’s first win since April 9. The 25-year-old has a 1.94 GAA and .929 SV in six career NHL playoff games.

The big question ahead of Game 6 is the status of superstar sniper Auston Matthews, who did not play Game 5. It was originally thought that Matthews was dealing with an illness, but most analysts now think he has some sort of injury. The Leafs haven’t given any information or updates, so his status for Thursday will likely be a game-time decision. It’s obviously a big blow for Toronto if Matthews can’t play as he scored an NHL-high 69 goals during the regular season and he netted the winning goal in Game 2.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Game 6?

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