Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 6 Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 25, 2022

The Tampa Bay Lightning will look to make this series go the distance as they prepare to host the Colorado Avalanche for Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final on Sunday night. The Bolts are 8-1 at home in this year's playoffs, while the Avs are 8-1 on the road.

Colorado
56-19-5-2
AT
June 26, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay
51-23-3-5
Puckline -1.5 +213
Moneyline -113
Over / Under o +5.5

42%

Betting Action

58%

Puckline +1.5 -257
Moneyline -107
Over / Under u +5.5

42%

Betting Action

58%

The Tampa Bay Lighting kept their season alive on Friday, picking up an essential 3-2 win in Denver against the Colorado Avalanche in a do-or-die Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final.  Now trailing 3-2 in the series, the Bolts will look to force a deciding Game 7 when they host Colorado for Game 6 on Sunday night.

The Avalanche are -120 favourites to win Game 6, while the total is 6.0 on the NHL odds.

Avalanche vs. Lightning NHL Playoffs Betting Odds

For the second straight game in the Stanley Cup Final, the road team walked away with a 3-2 victory on Friday.  It’s been a closer series than some people realize as each has one blowout win, while the other three games were decided by a single goal.  After Games 1, 2 and 3 hit the Over, the total went Under in Games 4 and 5.

Colorado will need to lean on their successful road experience throughout these playoffs as they head to Amalie Arena with an 8-1 record outside of Denver in the post-season.  Five of their last six games in Tampa Bay have hit the Over, but that will be tough to replicate again, as Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy looks dialled in.  The Avalanche sat as high as -1667 favourites to win the series prior to Game 5, but that number has dropped to -455 as they head to Game 6.

Tampa Bay has thrived in nine home playoff games this year, with their lone loss at Amalie Arena coming in Game 4 of this series.  The total has gone Under in 12 of their last 16 games, which is likely how they’d like things to go in Game 6.  The Lightning improved from +684 series underdogs before Game 5, to +304 entering Game 6.

The favoured exact series score is Colorado ending things on Sunday at -116, followed by an Avalanche win in seven games at +214.  Tampa completing the comeback to win this series is +319.

Colorado Avalanche

The Avalanche blew a chance to end this series on Friday, so it will be interesting to see if that loss becomes more of a wakeup call, or starts to sow some seeds of doubt.  Colorado outshot the Lightning in all three periods and 37-29 in the game, but a couple soft goals allowed, combined with a strong performance from Vasilevskiy in the Tampa Bay net was the difference.  Valeri Nichushkin and Cale Makar each finished the night with a goal and an assist, while Darcy Kuemper made 26 saves in net.  A late too-may-players penalty with under three minutes to play all but ended the Avs’ shot at forcing overtime.

All eyes in Colorado are shifting to the status of Andre Burakovsky for Game 6.  There was a thought that Burakovsky might return for Game 5 and while he practiced in a full-contact jersey and warmed up, he ultimately missed a third straight game with a hand injury.  Burakovsky, who scored the OT winner in Game 1, travelled with the team ahead of Game 6 and is listed as a possibility to play.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning won’t go down easy and they proved that with Friday’s Game 5 victory.  Jan Rutta opened the scoring in the first period, Nikita Kucherov found the back of the net on the power-play in the second and Ondrej Palat scored the winning goal with a little more than six minutes remaining in the game.  Vasilevskiy made 35 saves in net.  Tampa Bay was just 1-for-16 on the power-play in this series before Kucherov’s goal.

Trailing in a series isn’t new for this Tampa Bay team as they were down 3-2 against Toronto in the first-round and down 2-0 against New York in the Eastern Conference Final.  Plenty of Bolts players look banged up right now, with Brayden Point‘s injury looking the most serious.  Point has missed the last three games with a lower-body injury suffered in Game 7 of the first-round.  He also missed the full series’ against Florida and New York.  Point, who has been a staple of the Lightning’s last two Stanley Cup runs, is listed as questionable for Game 6, but it’s unlikely he’ll play.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Lightning?

SportsInteraction