Colorado Avalanche vs. St. Louis Blues Prediction, NHL Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Apr 14, 2021

Like most teams in the league, St. Louis hasn't had much of an answer for the Avalanche this season.  After dropping the first game of the season to the Blues, Colorado has won the last three meetings, outscoring St. Louis 13-3 in those wins.

Colorado
39-13-3-1
AT
April 14, 2021, 7:30 PM ET
Enterprise Center
St. Louis
27-20-6-3
Puckline -1.5 +157
Moneyline -162
Over / Under o +6

73%

Betting Action

27%

Puckline +1.5 -189
Moneyline +135
Over / Under u +6

73%

Betting Action

27%

The Colorado Avalanche and St. Louis Blues are about to see a lot of each other as Wednesday will be the first of four games between the divisional-rivals over the next 10 days.

Colorado is a -187 favourite to win on the NHL odds with a total of 5.5.

Avalanche vs. Blues Betting Analysis

Like most teams in the league, St. Louis hasn’t had much of an answer for the Avalanche this season.  After dropping the first game of the season to the Blues, Colorado has won the last three meetings, outscoring St. Louis 13-3 in those wins.

After an average first month or so of the season, the Avs have hit another gear.  Colorado has won eight of their last nine games overall and eight of their last 11 on the road.  They’re doing this with the top offence in the league, hitting the Over in 11 of their last 16 games.  The Avalanche are 19-23 against the spread and have covered in half of their last 10 games.

Although St. Louis still leads Arizona by one point in the standings, it looks like the final playoff spot in the West Division is going to come down to the Blues and Coyotes.  This must be making Blues’ fans nervous as St. Louis has lost 12 of their last 17 games overall and 11 of their last 15 home games.  The Over has only hit once in the last five games between the Blues and Avs.  Be cautious banking on St. Louis to cover as they’re 13-28 ATS this season.

Colorado Avalanche

GM Joe Sakic likes the roster he’s built and didn’t tweak it much at the trade deadline, picking up familiar depth pieces in Carl Soderberg and Patrik Nemeth.  He also added veteran goaltender Devan Dubnyk before announcing Avs backup Pavel Francouz, who hasn’t played at all this season, is ruled out for the entire year after undergoing hip surgery.  Dubnyk should split backup reps with Jonas Johansson, also acquired via trade this season.  They’ll backup starter Philipp Grubauer, who has posted a 25-8-1 record.  Grubauer’s 2.00 goals-against average and .920 save percentage are both top-10 in the NHL among goalies with at least six games played.  His five shutouts are tied with Marc-Andre Fleury for first in the league.

This is an Avalanche team that could hit the Over by themselves.  Their No. 1 ranked offence has scored the most total goals and second-most even-strength goals in the NHL.  They rank No, 3 in expected goals-for and and No. 1 in expected goals-against.  They give up the least high-danger scoring chances and they generate the sixth-most.  Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen are the biggest pieces of this offence.  MacKinnon’s 52 points (17G, 35A) puts him sixth in NHL scoring, while Rantanen is seventh with 50 points (25G, 25A).  Rantanen only trails Auston Matthews for the league lead in goals.

St. Louis Blues

Although they had a good start, St. Louis has struggled for much of the year.  Their current three-game winning streak has kept them in a playoff spot, but they were close to being sellers at the deadline.  Things won’t get any easier for the Blues as 11 of their remaining 15 games are against teams currently in a playoff position.  There’s some hope though, as goaltenders Jordan Binnington and Ville Husso have both played well in their last starts.  For the season, Binnington has been average (12-11-5, 2.65 GAA, .910 SV), while Husson has struggled (7-5-1, 3.43 GAA, .887 SV).

Offensively, St. Louis has been a mess.  Free agent Mike Hoffman (11G, 12A) hasn’t produced the way he was expected to and was a healthy scratch at one point.  The Blues are No. 29 in expected goals-for and 24th in even-strength goals.  They’re second-last in high-danger chances generated and only two players have hit the 30-point mark.  David Perron leads the team with 40 points (13G, 17A) in 41 games, while Ryan O’Reilly has a team-best 17 goals (39 points).  St. Louis did break out with a 9-1 win over Minnesota on Friday, but they’re likely in for a tougher test against the Avalanche.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Avalanche vs. Blues?

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