Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 27, 2025

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Ottawa Senators 28-22-7	1	1	3	+6
Toronto Maple Leafs 27-21-8-1	2	3	2	-135

Date	Result	Competition
02/05/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 25-20-8-3 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
02/03/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 28-22-5-3 ) 5 - 2	Atlantic
02/03/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 36-15-3-3 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic
02/02/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Calgary Flames CAL ( 23-27-4-2 ) 4 - 2	Atlantic
02/02/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 29-15-5-7 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
01/31/26	New Jersey Devils NJ ( 28-27-2 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) 1 - 4	Metropolitan
01/31/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 18-33-4-2 ) 2 - 2	Atlantic
01/29/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) Seattle Kraken SEA ( 27-20-5-4 ) 2 - 5	Atlantic
01/28/26	Colorado Avalanche COL ( 37-9-4-5 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) 2 - 5	Central
01/27/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) 7 - 4	Atlantic
01/25/26	Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 27-16-8-6 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 ) 1 - 7	Pacific
01/25/26	Colorado Avalanche COL ( 37-9-4-5 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 ) 4 - 1	Central

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators	18	13	6-3-1	1W	16-20	-140	8-6-3	10-7-2	20-15-1
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs	16	15	4-5-1	3W	13-23	-1446	11-5-4-1	5-10-0	21-12-3

date	home-away	ats	o/u	TOR:Shots	TOR:Goals	TOR:Assists	OTT:Shots	OTT:Goals	OTT:Assists
12/27/2025	TOR 7 - OTT 5	TOR	Over 6	33	7	12	31	5	8
09/23/2025	TOR 2 - OTT 3 (OT)	OTT	Under 6.5	33	2	4	41	3	4
09/21/2025	OTT 3 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 6	20	4	5	35	3	6
05/01/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 5.5	23	4	6	23	2	3
04/29/2025	TOR 0 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 5.5	19	4	6	29	0	0
04/26/2025	OTT 4 - TOR 3	OTT	Over 5.5	34	3	6	21	4	4
04/24/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 3 (OT)	TOR	Under 5.5	20	3	5	20	2	4
04/22/2025	TOR 3 - OTT 2	TOR	Under 6	28	2	4	21	3	5
04/20/2025	TOR 6 - OTT 2	TOR	Over 5.5	33	2	4	24	6	10
03/15/2025	TOR 2 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 6	25	4	5	23	2	2
01/25/2025	OTT 2 - TOR 1	OTT	Under 5.5	29	1	2	23	2	4
11/12/2024	TOR 0 - OTT 3	OTT	Under 6	41	3	5	27	0	0
09/24/2024	OTT 2 - TOR 1	OTT	Under 6.5	20	1	0	27	2	2
09/22/2024	TOR 5 - OTT 6 (OT)	OTT	Over 6.5	34	6	11	37	5	9
02/10/2024	OTT 5 - TOR 3	OTT	Over 7	35	3	6	32	5	7
12/27/2023	TOR 2 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 7	30	4	5	36	2	3
12/07/2023	OTT 3 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 0	22	4	8	41	3	4
11/08/2023	TOR 3 - OTT 6	OTT	Over 7	31	6	11	30	3	6
09/25/2023	TOR 3 - OTT 4 (OT)	OTT	Over 6.5	39	4	6	39	3	6
09/24/2023	OTT 3 - TOR 2	OTT	Under 6.5	38	2	4	32	3	6

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
02/05/2026	PHI 1 - OTT 2 (OT)	W	Over 0	27	2	3
02/03/2026	CAR 4 - OTT 3	L	Over 6	25	3	6
02/02/2026	PIT 2 - OTT 3	W	Under 6	31	3	6
01/31/2026	OTT 4 - NJ 1	W	Over 0	27	1	2
01/28/2026	OTT 5 - COL 2	W	Under 7	18	2	3
01/25/2026	OTT 7 - VEG 1	W	Over 6.5	20	1	1
01/24/2026	OTT 1 - CAR 4	L	Under 6.5	19	4	7
01/22/2026	NAS 5 - OTT 3	L	Over 6	26	3	6
01/20/2026	CLB 1 - OTT 4	W	Under 6.5	21	4	8
01/18/2026	DET 4 - OTT 3	L	Over 6	22	3	6

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
02/03/2026	EDM 2 - TOR 5	W	Over 6.5	36	2	4
02/02/2026	CAL 2 - TOR 4	W	Under 6	30	2	4
01/31/2026	VAN 2 - TOR 2	L	Over 0	30	2	4
01/29/2026	SEA 5 - TOR 2	L	Over 6	22	5	8
01/27/2026	TOR 4 - BUF 7	L	Over 6	23	4	8
01/25/2026	TOR 1 - COL 4	L	Under 6.5	33	1	2
01/23/2026	TOR 3 - VEG 6	L	Over 6	21	3	5
01/21/2026	TOR 1 - DET 2 (OT)	L	Under 6.5	31	1	2
01/19/2026	TOR 3 - MIN 6	L	Over 6	30	3	5
01/17/2026	WIN 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	W	Over 6	30	3	5

Ottawa Senators OTT Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.3	4	Goals Per Game	4	3.3
3.2	8	Goals Against Per Game	10	3.4
28.5	13	Shots Per Game	19	27.3
24.5	2	Shots Against Per Game	26	31.6
11.6	9	Shooting %	7	12.0
13.2	23	Opponent Shooting %	11	10.7
4.02	3	Shot Differential Per Game	29	-4.32
11.6	9	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	7	12.0
.870	5	Save %	3	.890
.880	2	Opponent Save %	2	.880
9.7	7	Penalty Minutes Per Game	22	7.1
0.75	5	Power Play Goals Per Game	24	0.44
0.79	23	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	1	0.4
23.0	9	Power Play %	19	18.8
73.1	26	Penalty Kill %	5	83.7
1.78	22	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	7	2.07

offence

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.3	12
Shots	28.51	14
Power Play (%)	23	8
Faceoff (%)	55	2
Penalty Mins	551	9

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.28	13
Shots	27.32	21
Power Play (%)	19	19
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	404	29

defence

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.3	12
Shots	28.51	14
Power Play (%)	23	8
Faceoff (%)	55	2
Penalty Mins	551	9

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.28	13
Shots	27.32	21
Power Play (%)	19	19
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	404	29

Ottawa Senators OTT

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Linus Ullmark (G)	Ques Feb. 26	Illness - 05 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Thomas Chabot (D)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 01 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Stephen Halliday (C)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 26 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
David Perron (LW)	Out Indefinitely	Groin - 25 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Linus Ullmark (G)	Out indefinitely	Personal - 28 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Tyler Kleven (D)	Ques Mon	Lower Body - 20 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Lars Eller (C)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 12 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Shane Pinto (C)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 05 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Artem Zub (D)	Ques Tues	Lower Body - 04 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Lars Eller (C)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 04 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Morgan Rielly (D)	Late Feb	Upper Body - 01 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Carlo (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 22 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Simon Benoit (D)	Ques Mon	Upper Body - 17 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 16 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nicholas Robertson (LW)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 13 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake McCabe (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Chris Tanev (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Auston Matthews (C)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Dakota Joshua (C)	Out indefinitely	Kidney - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 28 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Ottawa Senators OTT

Under is 20-5-1 in Senators last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 5-1 in Senators last 6 Saturday games.

Senators are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Senators are 8-2 in their last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 7-3 in Senators last 10 games as a favorite.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 21-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 Saturday games.

Under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 7-2 in Maple Leafs last 9 games a home underdog.

Under is 6-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	37-14	37-17	22-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	32-17	30-23	21-22-10
Detroit Red Wings DET	33-19	23-32	30-22-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	32-19	36-20	32-23-1
Boston Bruins BOS	32-20	36-20	32-23-1
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	27-21	24-32	32-19-5
Ottawa Senators OTT	28-22	35-19	26-21-7
Florida Panthers FLA	29-25	30-26	31-22-3

Ottawa Senators

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Toronto Maple Leafs

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

16.1

21.2

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 )	W L W W W
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )	W W L L L

02/26/26

7:00 pm ET

Detroit Red Wings DET ( 33-19-3-3 )

Ottawa Senators OTT ( 28-22-7 )

vs
Matchup

02/25/26

7:30 pm ET

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )

Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )

vs
Matchup

Tim Stutzle Left Wing Toronto	61	Points	52	William Nylander Right Wing Ottawa
Jake McCabe Defense Ottawa	17	+ / -	15	Claude Giroux Right Wing Toronto
Auston Matthews Center Ottawa	193	Shots	145	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Toronto
Nick Cousins Center Toronto	61	Penalty Mins	36	Oliver Ekman-Larsson Defense Ottawa
Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto	15	Wins	13	Joseph Woll Goaltender Ottawa
Linus Ullmark Goaltender Toronto	2.9	GAA	2.8	Joseph Woll Goaltender Ottawa

nhl Standings Complete OTT Standings

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Montreal Canadiens MON
Detroit Red Wings DET
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Boston Bruins BOS
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Ottawa Senators OTT
Florida Panthers FLA
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
NY Islanders Islanders NYI
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB
Washington Capitals WAS
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
New Jersey Devils NJ
NY Rangers Rangers NYR

Game Preview

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Ottawa’s season-high four-game winning streak was snapped Tuesday in a 3-2 home overtime loss to Buffalo.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	37-14	37-17	22-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	32-17	30-23	21-22-10
Detroit Red Wings DET	33-19	23-32	30-22-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	32-19	36-20	32-23-1
Boston Bruins BOS	32-20	36-20	32-23-1
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	27-21	24-32	32-19-5
Ottawa Senators OTT	28-22	35-19	26-21-7
Florida Panthers FLA	29-25	30-26	31-22-3