Rangers vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - November 12, 2025

Final Score
Metropolitan
Nov 12th, 7:00 PM EST
NY Rangers
Rangers
Tampa Bay
Lightning
7
3
New York Rangers
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
New York Rangers 19-17-4 4 1 2 +10.5
Tampa Bay Lightning 22-13-2-1 3 0 0 -1000

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/28/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 20-12-2-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
4   -   4
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 20-15-1-1 )
4   -   2
 Atlantic
12/27/25
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 21-14-0-4 )
0   -   2
 Metropolitan
12/23/25
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
7   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-16-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/21/25
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 16-17-4 )
1   -   2
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 23-11-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 19-11-4-3 )
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
4   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-16-6-2 )
2   -   1
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 16-12-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific
12/16/25
Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 15-19-3 )
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
3   -   0
 Pacific
12/15/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 20-15-1-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
NY Rangers Rangers NY Rangers Rangers
8 7 4-5-1 1L 9-8 107 1-6-1 7-1-1 7-10
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
8 5 6-3-0-1 4W 5-10 -495 4-3-0 4-2-2 5-8-2

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists NYR:Shots NYR:Goals NYR:Assists
11/29/2025 NYR 1 - TB 4 TB Under 6 35 4 8 13 1 2
11/12/2025 TB 3 - NYR 7 NYR Over 5.5 36 3 5 21 7 10
04/17/2025 NYR 4 - TB 0 NYR Under 6.5 27 0 0 22 4 5
04/07/2025 NYR 1 - TB 5 TB Over 5.5 23 5 9 39 1 2
12/28/2024 TB 6 - NYR 2 TB Over 6 44 2 3 25 6 7
03/14/2024 TB 6 - NYR 3 TB Over 6 28 3 6 28 6 11
02/07/2024 NYR 3 - TB 1 NYR Under 6.5 18 1 2 24 3 6
12/30/2023 TB 1 - NYR 5 NYR Under 6.5 21 5 9 35 1 2
04/05/2023 NYR 6 - TB 3 NYR Over 5.5 31 3 6 37 6 12
12/29/2022 TB 1 - NYR 1 NYR Under 5.5 46 1 0 40 1 2
10/11/2022 NYR 3 - TB 1 NYR Under 5.5 26 1 2 39 3 6
06/11/2022 TB 2 - NYR 1 TB Under 5.5 21 1 1 31 2 4
06/09/2022 NYR 1 - TB 3 TB Under 5 27 3 3 25 1 0
06/07/2022 TB 4 - NYR 1 TB Under 5.5 35 1 2 31 4 6
06/05/2022 TB 3 - NYR 2 TB Under 5.5 30 2 4 52 3 6
06/03/2022 NYR 3 - TB 2 NYR Under 5.5 31 2 4 28 3 6
06/01/2022 NYR 6 - TB 2 NYR Over 5.5 39 2 4 34 6 11
03/19/2022 TB 1 - NYR 2 NYR Under 5.5 27 2 4 29 1 2
01/02/2022 NYR 4 - TB 0 NYR Under 5.5 38 0 0 21 4 6
12/31/2021 TB 3 - NYR 3 NYR Under 6 23 3 3 28 3 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/27/2025 NYI 2 - NYR 0 L Under 5.5 27 0 0
12/23/2025 WAS 3 - NYR 7 W Over 5.5 21 7 14
12/21/2025 NAS 2 - NYR 1 L Under 6 17 1 1
12/20/2025 NYR 4 - PHI 4 L Over 5.5 32 4 7
12/18/2025 STL 1 - NYR 2 (OT) W Under 5.5 31 2 4
12/16/2025 NYR 0 - VAN 3 L Under 5.5 17 3 4
12/15/2025 NYR 1 - ANA 4 L Under 6 26 4 8
12/13/2025 NYR 5 - MON 4 W Over 5.5 17 4 8
12/10/2025 CHI 3 - NYR 0 L Under 6 21 0 0
12/07/2025 NYR 2 - VEG 3 (OT) L Under 6 28 3 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 L Over 6 22 4 7
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 W Over 5.5 26 2 4
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 17 4 7
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 29 6 11
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 32 1 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 28 2 4
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 3
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 37 4 8
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 1 2
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 L Under 6 25 2 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

NY Rangers Rangers NYR
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
2.6 11 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
2.7 4 Goals Against Per Game 3 2.6
26.1 20 Shots Per Game 16 27.5
28.2 14 Shots Against Per Game 7 26.8
9.8 17 Shooting % 3 12.0
9.5 5 Opponent Shooting % 7 9.8
-2.18 23 Shot Differential Per Game 14 0.68
9.8 17 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 3 12.0
.910 2 Save % 3 .900
.900 5 Opponent Save % 3 .880
7.5 20 Penalty Minutes Per Game 2 13.5
0.45 20 Power Play Goals Per Game 14 0.55
0.53 7 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 6 0.5
18.4 16 Power Play % 19 17.1
81.6 12 Penalty Kill % 2 85.3
1.89 12 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 6 2.03

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
NY Rangers Rangers NYR
Season stats rank
Goals 2.55 31
Shots 26.05 25
Power Play (%) 18 21
Faceoff (%) 54 3
Penalty Mins 299 22
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.29 6
Shots 27.47 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 47 30
Penalty Mins 513 2
defence
NY Rangers Rangers NYR
Season stats rank
Goals 2.55 31
Shots 26.05 25
Power Play (%) 18 21
Faceoff (%) 54 3
Penalty Mins 299 22
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.29 6
Shots 27.47 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 47 30
Penalty Mins 513 2

Injuries

NY Rangers Rangers NYR
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

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NY Rangers Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

NY Rangers Rangers NYR

Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a road favorite of -201 or greater.

Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.

Rangers are 5-16 in their last 21 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 Wednesday games.

Under is 6-1-1 in Lightning last 8 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 6-0-1 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Line Up - Last Game

New York Rangers
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • NYR
  • +600 -1000
  • TB
NHL Odds