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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds & Stats November 11, 2026

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Nov 11th, 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
L W W W L
Buffalo
Sabres
W L W W W
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Tampa Bay Lightning 11-4-1-1 - - -
Buffalo Sabres 8-6-2-1 - - -
Loading odds...

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
11/08/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 11-4-1-1 )
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 7-8-3 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
11/08/26
Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 12-5-1-1 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 8-6-2-1 )
4   -   1
 Pacific
11/07/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 11-4-1-1 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 12-3-4 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic

Matchup Odds

Line History

No odds are available yet.

Line History

Team Leaders

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
22 Points 19
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
Ryan McDonagh
Defense Buffalo
13 + / - 11
Zach Benson
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
70 Shots 65
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Buffalo
Mattias Samuelsson
Defense Tampa Bay
25 Penalty Mins 25
Jeffrey Viel
Left Wing Buffalo
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
8 Wins 5
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Goaltender Tampa Bay
Colten Ellis
Goaltender Tampa Bay
3.1 GAA 2.9
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo

Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Stat
11 Games Won 8
4 Games Lost 6
6-2-1-1 Last 10 5-3-2
8-0-0 W L Streak 4-5-0
9-8 Against The Spread 8-9
36 Money -325
8-0-0 Home 4-5-0
3-4-1-1 Away 4-1-2-1
10-6-1 Total 9-8

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
04/06/2026 BUF 4 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 25 2 4 30 4 7
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 BUF Over 0 28 7 10 42 8 14
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 BUF Over 6.5 35 6 9 38 2 3
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 TB Over 6 26 3 4 35 4 7
04/13/2025 TB 7 - BUF 4 TB Over 6.5 25 4 6 31 7 12
04/05/2025 BUF 2 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 24 2 3 38 2 3
03/06/2025 TB 6 - BUF 5 TB Over 6.5 33 5 6 26 6 11
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 BUF Under 6 34 4 7 33 2 2
02/29/2024 TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT) BUF Under 6.5 23 3 3 23 2 4
01/20/2024 BUF 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 16 3 4 27 1 2
10/17/2023 BUF 3 - TB 2 BUF Under 7 25 2 3 31 3 6
03/04/2023 BUF 5 - TB 3 BUF Over 7 36 3 6 34 5 5
02/23/2023 TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT) BUF Over 7 23 6 7 41 5 10
11/28/2022 BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT) TB Over 6.5 25 6 10 37 5 8
11/05/2022 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 24 3 6 30 5 8
04/10/2022 TB 5 - BUF 0 TB Under 6.5 28 0 0 28 5 8
01/11/2022 BUF 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 36 6 12 18 1 2
10/25/2021 BUF 5 - TB 1 BUF Under 6 36 1 2 25 5 5
12/31/2019 BUF 4 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 12 28 4 5
11/25/2019 TB 5 - BUF 2 TB Over 6.5 30 2 2 29 5 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
11/08/2026 WIN 4 - TB 3 L Over 6.5 21 3 5
11/07/2026 MIN 3 - TB 4 (OT) W Over 6.5 34 4 8
11/05/2026 TB 4 - CHI 1 W Under 6.5 27 1 2
11/03/2026 TB 4 - DET 2 W Under 6 21 2 3
10/31/2026 NAS 4 - TB 4 L Over 6.5 26 4 7
10/29/2026 TB 6 - WIN 4 W Over 6 21 4 8
10/24/2026 UTAH 5 - TB 4 L Over 6.5 32 4 5
10/23/2026 COL 6 - TB 3 L Over 6.5 34 3 6
10/20/2026 VEG 2 - TB 6 W Over 6 21 6 3
10/17/2026 TB 4 - VAN 2 W Under 6.5 14 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
11/08/2026 BUF 1 - VEG 4 L Under 6.5 29 1 2
11/06/2026 BUF 5 - CLB 2 W Over 6.5 37 5 9
11/04/2026 BUF 1 - OTT 2 L Under 6.5 25 1 2
10/31/2026 LA 2 - BUF 3 W Under 6 29 2 4
10/29/2026 ANA 6 - BUF 7 W Over 6.5 35 6 9
10/27/2026 SJ 0 - BUF 2 W Under 6.5 23 0 0
10/24/2026 WAS 4 - BUF 3 L Over 6.5 34 4 7
10/21/2026 BUF 1 - PHI 3 L Under 6 28 1 2
10/17/2026 MON 4 - BUF 3 L Over 6.5 34 4 6
10/15/2026 TOR 4 - BUF 5 (OT) W Over 6.5 30 4 6

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals Against 3.06 13
Shots Against 24.65 3
Penalty Kill (%) 73 23
Shutouts 0 27
Penalty Mins 178 19
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals Against 3.29 20
Shots Against 27.12 12
Penalty Kill (%) 71 26
Shutouts 1 13
Penalty Mins 150 8
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.71 6
Shots 29.88 4
Power Play (%) 19 22
Faceoff (%) 49 23
Penalty Mins 140 27
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 2.94 21
Shots 28.41 10
Power Play (%) 14 30
Faceoff (%) 45 31
Penalty Mins 158 23

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF

Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo Betting News

Tampa Bay Vs Buffalo Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 7-2-2 in Lightning last 11 Wednesday games.

Lightning are 52-19 in their last 71 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 games as a favorite.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 9-4-4 in Sabres last 17 Wednesday games.

Sabres are 20-7 in their last 27 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 15-5-1 in Sabres last 21 games as a home underdog.

Over is 9-4-1 in Sabres last 14 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Buffalo Sabres
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player