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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds & Stats April 06, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Apr 6th, 7:00 PM EDT
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Buffalo
Sabres
2
4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2 1 1 0 +4.5
Buffalo Sabres 50-23-8-1 2 1 1 -118

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
05/18/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
05/16/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
8   -   3
 Atlantic
05/14/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
6   -   3
 Atlantic
05/12/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
05/10/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   6
 Atlantic
05/08/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
5   -   1
 Atlantic
05/03/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   1
 Atlantic
05/01/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
1   -   0
 Atlantic
04/29/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/21/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic

Matchup Odds

Team Puckline Moneyline Over / Under
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
-1.5 0 0 U+4.50
Buffalo Sabres BUF
+1.5 0 0 O+4.50

Line History

time fav spread money line total
Opening 5 Apr 5:42pm TB -1.5 +220 -115 O +6.5 -110
Closing 5 Apr 5:42pm TB -1.5 +220 -115 O +6.5 -110

Line History

Team Leaders

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
130 Points 81
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
43 + / - 41
Mattias Samuelsson
Defense Tampa Bay
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
272 Shots 231
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Defense Buffalo
112 Penalty Mins 78
Peyton Krebs
Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
39 Wins 22
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Goaltender Tampa Bay
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.5 GAA 2.3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
15 Points 8
Jake Guentzel
Left Wing Buffalo
Zach Benson
Left Wing Tampa Bay
6 + / - 6
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Buffalo
Rasmus Dahlin
Defense Tampa Bay
46 Shots 31
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
Zach Benson
Left Wing Tampa Bay
64 Penalty Mins 13
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Buffalo
Alex Lyon
Goaltender Tampa Bay
4 Wins 3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
Alex Lyon
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.6 GAA 2.2
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo

Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Stat
48 Games Won 46
22 Games Lost 23
5-5-0 Last 10 6-3-0-1
25-13-1 W L Streak 24-10-4
35-33 Against The Spread 38-30
1285 Money 515
25-13-1 Home 24-10-4
23-9-3-2 Away 22-13-4
30-29-9 Total 31-29-8

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
04/06/2026 BUF 4 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 30 4 7 25 2 4
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 BUF Over 0 42 8 14 28 7 10
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 BUF Over 6.5 35 6 9 38 2 3
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 TB Over 6 26 3 4 35 4 7
04/13/2025 TB 7 - BUF 4 TB Over 6.5 25 4 6 31 7 12
04/05/2025 BUF 2 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 24 2 3 38 2 3
03/06/2025 TB 6 - BUF 5 TB Over 6.5 33 5 6 26 6 11
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 BUF Under 6 34 4 7 33 2 2
02/29/2024 TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT) BUF Under 6.5 23 3 3 23 2 4
01/20/2024 BUF 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 16 3 4 27 1 2
10/17/2023 BUF 3 - TB 2 BUF Under 7 25 2 3 31 3 6
03/04/2023 BUF 5 - TB 3 BUF Over 7 36 3 6 34 5 5
02/23/2023 TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT) BUF Over 7 23 6 7 41 5 10
11/28/2022 BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT) TB Over 6.5 25 6 10 37 5 8
11/05/2022 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 24 3 6 30 5 8
04/10/2022 TB 5 - BUF 0 TB Under 6.5 28 0 0 28 5 8
01/11/2022 BUF 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 36 6 12 18 1 2
10/25/2021 BUF 5 - TB 1 BUF Under 6 36 1 2 25 5 5
12/31/2019 BUF 4 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 12 28 4 5
11/25/2019 TB 5 - BUF 2 TB Over 6.5 30 2 2 29 5 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/03/2026 TB 1 - MON 2 L Under 5 9 2 4
05/01/2026 MON 0 - TB 1 (OT) W Under 5.5 33 1 2
04/29/2026 TB 2 - MON 3 L Under 5.5 24 3 5
04/26/2026 MON 2 - TB 3 W Under 6 20 3 6
04/24/2026 MON 3 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 2
04/21/2026 TB 3 - MON 2 W Under 6 27 2 4
04/19/2026 TB 3 - MON 4 (OT) L Over 6 19 4 8
04/15/2026 TB 2 - NYR 4 L Under 6.5 21 4 8
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 W Over 6.5 30 3 5
04/11/2026 BOS 1 - TB 2 W Under 6 24 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/18/2026 BUF 2 - MON 3 (OT) L Over 0 39 2 4
05/16/2026 MON 3 - BUF 8 W Over 6.5 22 3 4
05/14/2026 BUF 3 - MON 6 L Over 6 36 3 5
05/12/2026 MON 2 - BUF 3 W Under 6.5 31 2 4
05/10/2026 MON 6 - BUF 2 L Over 6 36 6 11
05/08/2026 BUF 1 - MON 5 L Under 6 30 1 2
05/06/2026 BUF 4 - MON 2 W Under 6 16 4 5
05/01/2026 BOS 1 - BUF 4 W Under 5.5 26 1 2
04/28/2026 BUF 1 - BOS 2 (OT) L Under 6 26 1 2
04/26/2026 BOS 1 - BUF 6 W Over 6 24 1 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.1 6 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
2.9 10 Goals Against Per Game 11 3.0
19.6 24 Shots Per Game 2 28.5
25.0 16 Shots Against Per Game 21 27.5
16.1 4 Shooting % 15 11.7
11.4 12 Opponent Shooting % 8 10.9
-5.43 26 Shot Differential Per Game 13 1
16.1 4 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 15 11.7
.890 4 Save % 4 .890
.860 2 Opponent Save % 4 .880
50.7 1 Penalty Minutes Per Game 26 6.8
1 2 Power Play Goals Per Game 4 0.83
1.29 14 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 13 1
21.2 11 Power Play % 6 23.8
82.0 12 Penalty Kill % 22 62.5
2.24 10 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 11 2.2

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals Against 2.79 3
Shots Against 26.7 8
Penalty Kill (%) 83 3
Shutouts 2 22
Penalty Mins 1106 32
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals Against 2.93 11
Shots Against 29.06 23
Penalty Kill (%) 82 4
Shutouts 5 7
Penalty Mins 827 27
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.45 5
Shots 28.12 13
Power Play (%) 20 18
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 797 7

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF

Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo Betting News

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.
Buffalo Sabres BUF

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Vs Buffalo Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 Monday games.

Lightning are 51-15 in their last 66 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 12-4-5 in Sabres last 21 Monday games.

Sabres are 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 9-2-1 in Sabres last 12 games as a home underdog.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Buffalo Sabres
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • BUF
NHL Odds