Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds & Stats - April 06, 2026

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2	1	1	0	+4.5
Buffalo Sabres 50-23-8-1	2	1	1	-118

Date	Result	Competition
04/23/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) Boston Bruins BOS ( 45-27-7-3 ) 3 - 1	Atlantic
04/21/26	Boston Bruins BOS ( 45-27-7-3 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 4 - 2	Atlantic
04/21/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/19/26	Boston Bruins BOS ( 45-27-7-3 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic
04/19/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 4 - 3	Atlantic
04/15/26	NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 34-39-8-1 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 4 - 2	Metropolitan
04/15/26	Dallas Stars DAL ( 50-20-8-4 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 3 - 3	Central
04/13/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 29-39-9-5 ) 5 - 1	Atlantic
04/13/26	Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic
04/11/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Boston Bruins BOS ( 45-27-7-3 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
04/09/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 1 - 2	Atlantic
04/09/26	Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 40-30-10-2 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 0 - 5	Metropolitan

Team	Puckline	Moneyline	Over / Under
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	-1.5 0	0	U+4.50
Buffalo Sabres BUF	+1.5 0	0	O+4.50

time	fav	line	total
Opening 5 Apr 5:42pm	TB		O +6.5 -110
Closing 7 Apr 1:40am	TB		U +6.5 -165

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo	130	Points	81	Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo	43	+ / -	41	Mattias Samuelsson Defense Tampa Bay
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	272	Shots	231	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Buffalo	112	Penalty Mins	78	Peyton Krebs Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo	39	Wins	22	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.5	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo

Alex Tuch Right Wing Tampa Bay	4	Points	4	Jake Guentzel Left Wing Buffalo
Peyton Krebs Center Tampa Bay	5	+ / -	4	Anthony Cirelli Center Buffalo
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	16	Shots	10	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	18	Penalty Mins	9	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Buffalo
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay	1	Wins	1	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo	2.7	GAA	0.8	Alex Lyon Goaltender Tampa Bay

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning	48	22	5-5-0	1L	35-33	1285	25-13-1	23-9-3-2	30-29-9
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres	46	23	6-3-0-1	1L	38-30	515	24-10-4	22-13-4	31-29-8

date	home-away	ats	o/u	BUF:Shots	BUF:Goals	BUF:Assists	TB:Shots	TB:Goals	TB:Assists
04/06/2026	BUF 4 - TB 2	BUF	Under 6.5	30	4	7	25	2	4
03/08/2026	BUF 8 - TB 7	BUF	Over 0	42	8	14	28	7	10
02/28/2026	TB 2 - BUF 6	BUF	Over 6.5	35	6	9	38	2	3
02/03/2026	TB 4 - BUF 3	TB	Over 6	26	3	4	35	4	7
04/13/2025	TB 7 - BUF 4	TB	Over 6.5	25	4	6	31	7	12
04/05/2025	BUF 2 - TB 2	BUF	Under 6.5	24	2	3	38	2	3
03/06/2025	TB 6 - BUF 5	TB	Over 6.5	33	5	6	26	6	11
04/15/2024	TB 2 - BUF 4	BUF	Under 6	34	4	7	33	2	2
02/29/2024	TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT)	BUF	Under 6.5	23	3	3	23	2	4
01/20/2024	BUF 1 - TB 3	TB	Under 6.5	16	3	4	27	1	2
10/17/2023	BUF 3 - TB 2	BUF	Under 7	25	2	3	31	3	6
03/04/2023	BUF 5 - TB 3	BUF	Over 7	36	3	6	34	5	5
02/23/2023	TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT)	BUF	Over 7	23	6	7	41	5	10
11/28/2022	BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT)	TB	Over 6.5	25	6	10	37	5	8
11/05/2022	TB 5 - BUF 3	TB	Over 6.5	24	3	6	30	5	8
04/10/2022	TB 5 - BUF 0	TB	Under 6.5	28	0	0	28	5	8
01/11/2022	BUF 1 - TB 6	TB	Over 6	36	6	12	18	1	2
10/25/2021	BUF 5 - TB 1	BUF	Under 6	36	1	2	25	5	5
12/31/2019	BUF 4 - TB 6	TB	Over 6	27	6	12	28	4	5
11/25/2019	TB 5 - BUF 2	TB	Over 6.5	30	2	2	29	5	8

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
04/21/2026	TB 3 - MON 2	W	Under 6	27	2	4
04/19/2026	TB 3 - MON 4 (OT)	L	Over 6	19	4	8
04/15/2026	TB 2 - NYR 4	L	Under 6.5	21	4	8
04/13/2026	TB 4 - DET 3	W	Over 6.5	30	3	5
04/11/2026	BOS 1 - TB 2	W	Under 6	24	2	4
04/09/2026	MON 2 - TB 1	L	Under 6.5	18	1	2
04/07/2026	OTT 6 - TB 2	L	Over 6.5	30	2	4
04/06/2026	BUF 4 - TB 2	L	Under 6.5	25	2	4
04/04/2026	TB 3 - BOS 1	W	Under 6	22	1	2
04/02/2026	TB 6 - PIT 3	W	Over 6.5	24	3	6

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
04/23/2026	BOS 1 - BUF 3	W	Under 6	25	1	1
04/21/2026	BUF 2 - BOS 4	L	Under 6	36	2	4
04/19/2026	BUF 4 - BOS 3	W	Over 6	38	4	5
04/15/2026	BUF 3 - DAL 3	W	Under 6	24	3	5
04/13/2026	CHI 1 - BUF 5	W	Under 6.5	16	1	1
04/09/2026	BUF 5 - CLB 0	W	Under 6	24	5	7
04/08/2026	NYR 3 - BUF 5	W	Over 6.5	20	3	5
04/06/2026	BUF 4 - TB 2	W	Under 6.5	30	4	7
04/04/2026	WAS 6 - BUF 2	L	Over 6.5	28	6	9
04/02/2026	OTT 4 - BUF 1	L	Under 6.5	24	4	5

Tampa Bay Lightning TB Buffalo Sabres BUF

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.0	4	Goals Per Game	4	3.0
3.0	6	Goals Against Per Game	5	2.7
28.5	7	Shots Per Game	3	33.7
23.0	1	Shots Against Per Game	2	24.0
10.5	8	Shooting %	10	8.9
13.0	14	Opponent Shooting %	10	11.1
5.5	4	Shot Differential Per Game	1	9.67
10.5	8	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	10	8.9
.870	8	Save %	6	.890
.890	5	Opponent Save %	6	.910
20.5	5	Penalty Minutes Per Game	3	22.3
1	3	Power Play Goals Per Game	1
2	5	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	2	0.67
25.0	5	Power Play %	1
55.6	9	Penalty Kill %	3	83.3
1.84	6	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	2	2.4

offence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Buffalo Sabres BUF

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.45	5
Shots	28.12	13
Power Play (%)	20	18
Faceoff (%)	46	31
Penalty Mins	797	7

defence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Buffalo Sabres BUF

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.45	5
Shots	28.12	13
Power Play (%)	20	18
Faceoff (%)	46	31
Penalty Mins	797	7

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Pontus Holmberg (RW)	Out Fri	Upper Body - 22 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D)	Ques Fri	Undisclosed - 20 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zemgus Girgensons (LW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Darren Raddysh (D)	Ques Wed	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 09 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Scott Sabourin (RW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikita Kucherov (RW)	Ques Tues	Illness - 29 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Victor Hedman (D)	Out indefinitely	Personal - 20 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zemgus Girgensons (LW)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 16 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Buffalo Sabres BUF

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Josh Norris (C)	Ques Sun	Undisclosed - 23 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alex Lyon (G)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 08 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Sam Carrick (C)	Out indefinitely	Arm - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Noah Ostlund (C)	Ques Thurs	Upper Body - 27 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Mattias Samuelsson (D)	Ques Wed	Illness - 24 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Colten Ellis (G)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 13 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Mattias Samuelsson (D)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 13 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tanner Pearson (LW)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 13 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alex Tuch (RW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 12 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tyson Kozak (C)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 05 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 Monday games.

Lightning are 51-15 in their last 66 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 12-4-5 in Sabres last 21 Monday games.

Sabres are 13-3 in their last 16 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 9-2-1 in Sabres last 12 games as a home underdog.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	43-32	34-32-9
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	41-33	42-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	41-33	42-28-4
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	49-26	39-34-2
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	34-40	37-33-4
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Buffalo Sabres

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

8.0

13.3

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )	W L L W W
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )	L W L W W

04/24/26

7:00 pm ET

Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )

Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )

vs
Matchup

04/26/26

2:00 pm ET

Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )

Boston Bruins BOS ( 45-27-7-3 )

vs
Matchup

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo	130	Points	81	Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo	43	+ / -	41	Mattias Samuelsson Defense Tampa Bay
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	272	Shots	231	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Buffalo	112	Penalty Mins	78	Peyton Krebs Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo	39	Wins	22	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.5	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo

Alex Tuch Right Wing Tampa Bay	4	Points	4	Jake Guentzel Left Wing Buffalo
Peyton Krebs Center Tampa Bay	5	+ / -	4	Anthony Cirelli Center Buffalo
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	16	Shots	10	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Buffalo
Tage Thompson Center Tampa Bay	18	Penalty Mins	9	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Buffalo
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen Goaltender Tampa Bay	1	Wins	1	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Buffalo	2.7	GAA	0.8	Alex Lyon Goaltender Tampa Bay

nhl Standings Complete TB Standings

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	43-32	34-32-9
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	41-33	42-28-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	41-33	42-28-4
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	49-26	39-34-2
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	34-40	37-33-4
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8