Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 08, 2025

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 31-13-2-2	0	0	0	+6
Toronto Maple Leafs 24-17-8-1	1	0	1	-135

Date	Result	Competition
01/21/26	Detroit Red Wings DET ( 31-16-3-2 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
01/20/26	San Jose Sharks SJ ( 25-21-2-1 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) 1 - 4	Pacific
01/19/26	Minnesota Wild MIN ( 29-14-6-3 ) Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) 6 - 3	Central
01/18/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) Dallas Stars DAL ( 28-14-6-3 ) 4 - 1	Atlantic
01/17/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 20-23-5-2 ) 4 - 3	Atlantic
01/16/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) St. Louis Blues STL ( 19-23-6-2 ) 2 - 2	Atlantic
01/15/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 24-13-7-5 ) 5 - 6	Atlantic
01/13/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 26-20-4 ) 1 - 6	Atlantic
01/13/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 25-14-4-7 ) 1 - 1	Atlantic
01/12/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 ) Colorado Avalanche COL ( 34-5-4-5 ) 4 - 3	Atlantic
01/12/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 23-17-6-3 ) 5 - 1	Atlantic
01/10/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 ) Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 23-17-6-3 ) 7 - 2	Atlantic

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning	16	10	9-0-0-1	2W	12-16	-180	8-7-0	8-3-2	10-14-4
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs	13	11	5-2-3	2L	11-17	-671	8-4-3-1	5-7-0	18-8-2

date	home-away	ats	o/u	TOR:Shots	TOR:Goals	TOR:Assists	TB:Shots	TB:Goals	TB:Assists
12/08/2025	TOR 2 - TB 0	TOR	Under 6	25	2	2	29	0	0
04/09/2025	TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	TOR	Over 6	31	4	7	28	3	6
01/20/2025	TOR 5 - TB 3	TOR	Over 6.5	30	3	6	28	5	8
11/30/2024	TB 3 - TOR 5	TOR	Over 6	29	5	10	41	3	5
10/21/2024	TOR 5 - TB 2	TOR	Over 6.5	34	2	4	29	5	7
04/17/2024	TB 6 - TOR 4	TB	Over 7	38	4	7	32	6	11
04/03/2024	TOR 1 - TB 4	TB	Under 6.5	25	4	8	29	1	2
11/06/2023	TOR 6 - TB 5	TOR	Over 7	31	5	10	34	6	12
10/21/2023	TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	TOR	Under 7	52	4	7	31	3	6
04/29/2023	TB 1 - TOR 2 (OT)	TOR	Under 6.5	22	2	3	32	1	2
04/27/2023	TOR 2 - TB 4	TB	Under 6.5	38	4	8	30	2	4
04/24/2023	TB 4 - TOR 5 (OT)	TOR	Over 6.5	37	5	10	31	4	8
04/22/2023	TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	TOR	Over 6.5	27	4	7	39	3	6
04/20/2023	TOR 7 - TB 2	TOR	Over 6	22	2	4	37	7	12
04/18/2023	TOR 3 - TB 7	TB	Over 6	34	7	11	31	3	6
04/11/2023	TB 3 - TOR 4	TOR	Over 6.5	24	4	7	48	3	4
12/20/2022	TOR 4 - TB 1	TOR	Under 6	19	1	1	40	4	6
12/03/2022	TB 4 - TOR 3	TB	Over 6	39	3	3	33	4	7
05/14/2022	TOR 1 - TB 2	TB	Under 6.5	25	2	2	31	1	2
05/12/2022	TB 4 - TOR 3	TB	Over 6.5	33	3	6	35	4	4

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
01/20/2026	TB 4 - SJ 1	W	Under 6.5	23	1	2
01/18/2026	DAL 1 - TB 4	W	Under 6	26	4	8
01/16/2026	STL 2 - TB 2	L	Under 5.5	36	2	4
01/13/2026	PIT 1 - TB 1	L	Under 6	31	1	2
01/12/2026	PHI 1 - TB 5	W	Under 6	26	5	10
01/10/2026	PHI 2 - TB 7	W	Over 6	23	7	12
01/06/2026	TB 4 - COL 2	W	Under 6	33	2	3
01/03/2026	SJ 3 - TB 7	W	Over 6	26	7	13
01/01/2026	LA 3 - TB 5	W	Over 5.5	24	5	9
12/31/2025	ANA 3 - TB 4 (OT)	W	Over 6	29	4	7

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
01/21/2026	TOR 1 - DET 2 (OT)	L	Under 6.5	31	1	2
01/19/2026	TOR 3 - MIN 6	L	Over 6	30	3	5
01/17/2026	WIN 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	W	Over 6	30	3	5
01/15/2026	VEG 6 - TOR 5	L	Over 6	33	6	11
01/13/2026	UTAH 6 - TOR 1	L	Over 6	41	6	11
01/12/2026	COL 3 - TOR 4 (OT)	W	Under 7	34	3	5
01/10/2026	TOR 5 - VAN 0	W	Under 6	24	5	6
01/08/2026	PHI 1 - TOR 2 (OT)	W	Under 6	23	1	2
01/06/2026	TOR 4 - FLA 1	W	Under 6	23	4	7
01/03/2026	NYI 4 - TOR 3	L	Over 5.5	25	4	7

Tampa Bay Lightning TB Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.5	2	Goals Per Game	4	3.3
2.5	2	Goals Against Per Game	8	3.3
27.3	18	Shots Per Game	19	27.2
26.1	6	Shots Against Per Game	26	31.7
12.8	2	Shooting %	3	12.2
9.5	2	Opponent Shooting %	8	10.4
1.25	11	Shot Differential Per Game	30	-4.54
12.8	2	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	3	12.2
.900	2	Save %	2	.900
.870	1	Opponent Save %	2	.880
13.5	1	Penalty Minutes Per Game	22	7.5
0.65	8	Power Play Goals Per Game	20	0.42
0.5	6	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	2	0.44
20.7	13	Power Play %	22	16.9
84.2	3	Penalty Kill %	5	83.3
2.05	8	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	7	2.07

offence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.5	2
Shots	27.33	20
Power Play (%)	21	12
Faceoff (%)	46	31
Penalty Mins	650	2

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.32	7
Shots	27.18	22
Power Play (%)	17	23
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	375	27

defence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.5	2
Shots	27.33	20
Power Play (%)	21	12
Faceoff (%)	46	31
Penalty Mins	650	2

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.32	7
Shots	27.18	22
Power Play (%)	17	23
Faceoff (%)	56	1
Penalty Mins	375	27

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Anthony Cirelli (C)	Ques Fri	Undisclosed - 21 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Matthew Knies (LW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 19 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brayden Point (C)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 13 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Scott Sabourin (RW)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 29 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Ryan McDonagh (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 27 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Anthony Cirelli (C)	Ques Sat	Undisclosed - 18 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikita Kucherov (RW)	Ques Sat	Illness - 18 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 17 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Emil Lilleberg (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 13 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Victor Hedman (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 11 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Brandon Carlo (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 22 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Simon Benoit (D)	Ques Mon	Upper Body - 17 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 16 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nicholas Robertson (LW)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 13 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake McCabe (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 04 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Chris Tanev (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Auston Matthews (C)	Ques Thurs	Lower Body - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Dakota Joshua (C)	Out indefinitely	Kidney - 30 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
William Nylander (RW)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 28 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details
Matias Maccelli (LW)	Ques Sat	Illness - 15 / 12 / 25	0-0	0-0	Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 Monday games.

Over is 10-2 in Maple Leafs last 12 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 games a home underdog.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Detroit Red Wings DET	31-16	18-18	18-14-4
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	31-13	12-23	19-16
Montreal Canadiens MON	28-16	17-18	21-11-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	28-17	22-12	16-13-5
Boston Bruins BOS	29-20	25-11	20-16
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	24-17	15-21	19-13-4
Florida Panthers FLA	26-20	12-23	19-16
Ottawa Senators OTT	23-20	15-19	19-14-1

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Toronto Maple Leafs

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

8.0

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )	W W L W W
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 )	L W L L W

01/23/26

7:00 pm ET

Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )

Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 21-22-4-3 )

vs
Matchup

01/23/26

7:00 pm ET

Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 24-13-7-5 )

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 24-17-8-1 )

vs
Matchup

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Toronto	73	Points	48	William Nylander Right Wing Tampa Bay
J.J. Moser Defense Toronto	38	+ / -	17	Jake McCabe Defense Tampa Bay
Auston Matthews Center Tampa Bay	167	Shots	128	Jake Guentzel Left Wing Toronto
Curtis Douglas Center Toronto	75	Penalty Mins	32	Max Domi Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Toronto	21	Wins	11	Joseph Woll Goaltender Tampa Bay
Joseph Woll Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.6	GAA	2.2	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Toronto

nhl Standings Complete TB Standings

Detroit Red Wings DET
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Montreal Canadiens MON
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Boston Bruins BOS
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Florida Panthers FLA
Ottawa Senators OTT
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
NY Islanders Islanders NYI
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
New Jersey Devils NJ
Washington Capitals WAS
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB
NY Rangers Rangers NYR

Game Preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

The Leafs might be catching Tampa Bay at a great time on Monday as the Lightning are struggling a bit and could be without two future Hall of Famers due to injury.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Detroit Red Wings DET	31-16	18-18	18-14-4
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	31-13	12-23	19-16
Montreal Canadiens MON	28-16	17-18	21-11-3
Buffalo Sabres BUF	28-17	22-12	16-13-5
Boston Bruins BOS	29-20	25-11	20-16
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	24-17	15-21	19-13-4
Florida Panthers FLA	26-20	12-23	19-16
Ottawa Senators OTT	23-20	15-19	19-14-1

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 08, 2025

Latest Encounters

Line History

Matchup Details

Recent Meetings

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

Injuries

Tampa Bay vs. Toronto Betting News

Tampa Bay Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Upcoming Rivals

Team Leaders

Tampa Bay Lightning Standings Regular Season

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, NHL Odds

Atlantic Standings