Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 08, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Dec 8th, 7:30 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Toronto
Maple Leafs
0
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Toronto Maple Leafs
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 23-13-2-1 0 0 0 +6
Toronto Maple Leafs 18-15-5-1 1 0 1 -135

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/31/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
Anaheim Ducks ANA ( 21-16-3 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic
12/30/25
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 21-17-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/28/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 24-14-1-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
12/28/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 21-12-2-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
4   -   4
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
4   -   2
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-15-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
5   -   7
 Atlantic
12/23/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 17-12-4-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
3   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-17-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/21/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-4-3 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 24-12-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 18-15-5-1 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 18-17-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 16-13-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
16 10 7-2-0-1 5W 12-16 -180 8-7-0 8-3-2 10-14-4
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
13 11 4-4-2 1W 11-17 -671 8-4-3-1 5-7-0 18-8-2

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 TOR Under 6 25 2 2 29 0 0
04/09/2025 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6 31 4 7 28 3 6
01/20/2025 TOR 5 - TB 3 TOR Over 6.5 30 3 6 28 5 8
11/30/2024 TB 3 - TOR 5 TOR Over 6 29 5 10 41 3 5
10/21/2024 TOR 5 - TB 2 TOR Over 6.5 34 2 4 29 5 7
04/17/2024 TB 6 - TOR 4 TB Over 7 38 4 7 32 6 11
04/03/2024 TOR 1 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 25 4 8 29 1 2
11/06/2023 TOR 6 - TB 5 TOR Over 7 31 5 10 34 6 12
10/21/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Under 7 52 4 7 31 3 6
04/29/2023 TB 1 - TOR 2 (OT) TOR Under 6.5 22 2 3 32 1 2
04/27/2023 TOR 2 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 38 4 8 30 2 4
04/24/2023 TB 4 - TOR 5 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 37 5 10 31 4 8
04/22/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 27 4 7 39 3 6
04/20/2023 TOR 7 - TB 2 TOR Over 6 22 2 4 37 7 12
04/18/2023 TOR 3 - TB 7 TB Over 6 34 7 11 31 3 6
04/11/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 TOR Over 6.5 24 4 7 48 3 4
12/20/2022 TOR 4 - TB 1 TOR Under 6 19 1 1 40 4 6
12/03/2022 TB 4 - TOR 3 TB Over 6 39 3 3 33 4 7
05/14/2022 TOR 1 - TB 2 TB Under 6.5 25 2 2 31 1 2
05/12/2022 TB 4 - TOR 3 TB Over 6.5 33 3 6 35 4 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/31/2025 ANA 3 - TB 4 (OT) W Over 6 29 4 7
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 L Over 6 35 4 7
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 W Over 5.5 25 4 7
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 24 1 2
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 22 4 6
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 20 2 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 24 5 7
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 34 2 4
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 35 8 15
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 6 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/30/2025 TOR 4 - NJ 0 W Under 5.5 30 4 6
12/28/2025 DET 3 - TOR 2 L Under 6 36 3 3
12/27/2025 TOR 7 - OTT 5 W Over 6 33 7 12
12/23/2025 TOR 6 - PIT 3 W Over 6 31 6 7
12/21/2025 DAL 5 - TOR 1 L Under 6 22 5 9
12/20/2025 NAS 5 - TOR 3 L Over 6 34 5 7
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 L Under 6 29 4 8
12/16/2025 TOR 3 - CHI 2 W Under 5.5 27 3 5
12/13/2025 TOR 3 - EDM 6 L Over 6 28 3 6
12/11/2025 TOR 2 - SJ 3 (OT) L Under 6 30 2 4

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
2.6 2 Goals Against Per Game 9 3.3
27.5 16 Shots Per Game 17 27.2
26.8 7 Shots Against Per Game 27 31.3
12.0 5 Shooting % 4 12.1
9.9 7 Opponent Shooting % 9 10.5
0.69 14 Shot Differential Per Game 30 -4.05
12.0 5 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 4 12.1
.900 3 Save % 4 .890
.880 3 Opponent Save % 3 .880
13.3 2 Penalty Minutes Per Game 23 7.6
0.56 13 Power Play Goals Per Game 22 0.41
0.51 5 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 1 0.41
17.5 17 Power Play % 20 16.0
84.8 2 Penalty Kill % 3 84.2
2.04 7 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 6 2.05

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.31 5
Shots 27.49 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 519 2
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 6
Shots 27.21 21
Power Play (%) 16 26
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 295 29
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.31 5
Shots 27.49 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 519 2
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 6
Shots 27.21 21
Power Play (%) 16 26
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 295 29

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

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Tampa Bay Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 5-0 in Maple Leafs last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Over is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 Monday games.

Over is 10-2 in Maple Leafs last 12 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 6-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 games a home underdog.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • TOR
NHL Odds