Vikings vs. Lions Point Spread: NFL Week 17 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 30, 2020

Irv Smith

Neither the Minnesota Vikings nor Detroit Lions have anything to play for Sunday other than pride when they meet from the Motor City.

Minnesota
7-9
AT
January 03, 2021, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Detroit
5-11
Pointspread -3 -125
Moneyline -201
Over / Under o +53

76%

Betting Action

24%

Pointspread +3 +104
Moneyline +167
Over / Under u +53

76%

Betting Action

24%

The Vikings open as 6.5-point favorites on the Sports Interaction NFL odds board with a total of 54.5.

NFL Week 17 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Minnesota will finish third in the NFC North and Detroit last and nothing that happens Sunday will change that. The losing team could improve its 2021 first-round draft position, however. The Lions could get all the way up to No. 3 overall with a loss and a ton of help elsewhere, but that’s incredibly unlikely. Detroit currently sits seventh and Minnesota 13th.

In Week 9 in the Twin Cities, the Vikings were 3-point favorites over the Lions and won 34-20. Dalvin Cook (more on him below) absolutely dominated with 206 yards rushing and two touchdowns on 22 carries and also caught two passes for 46 yards. Because the ground game was so good, Kirk Cousins only attempted 20 passes yet still had three TD throws, two to tight end Irv Smith Jr.

Detroit piled up 421 yards and 30 first downs but turned it over three times. Matthew Stafford threw for 211 yards and a touchdown but had two interceptions. He left in the fourth quarter with a possible concussion and backup Chase Daniel (more on him below) also threw a pick.

The favourite has covered six straight in the series and the Vikings are also 5-1 ATS in their past six in Detroit.

Minnesota Vikings

Cook was named to his second straight Pro Bowl this season as he leads the NFL in yards from scrimmage (1,918) and is second with 1,557 rushing yards and 17 total touchdowns. Alas, Cook will have no shot to catch Tennessee’s Derrick Henry (he wasn’t going to catch him barring a miracle) for the league rushing title as Cook has left the team reportedly due to the death of his father and won’t play.

He has a solid backup in Alexander Mattison, but he has to be cleared from the NFL’s concussion protocol. Cook and the offence haven’t been the problem this year, the defence has. That unit has given up the fifth-most points in franchise history (440) through 15 games, in part due to injuries. Minnesota is on a league-worst six-game ATS losing streak.

Detroit Lions

The next time the Lions take the field after Sunday, they will have a new head coach and perhaps a new starting quarterback. Stafford could be traded, and the former No. 1 overall pick might already have played his final game with the Lions. He entered Week 16’s blowout loss to Tampa Bay with thumb and ribs injuries and then left with an ankle issue.

Stafford is tough and always wants to play, but it truly makes no sense for the Lions to let him Sunday. He will not practice this week, so it’s likely going to be Daniel. He is 2-3 as a starter in his long journeyman career and last started in 2019 with Chicago. The Lions’ defence also has been terrible this year and a handful of starters already are done for 2020. Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its past five as a home underdog.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Vikings vs. Lions?

SportsInteraction