Titans vs. Patriots Point Spread: NFL Wild-Card Playoff Predictions, Odds

Payton Matthews | Updated Dec 30, 2019

Derrick Henry, Titans, 2018

The Titans are 6-0 this season when Derrick Henry rushes for at least 100 yards. Can he do it against the Patriots?

Tennessee
9-7
AT
January 04, 2020, 8:15 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
Pointspread +4.5 -105
Moneyline +174
Over / Under o +45

56%

Betting Action

44%

Pointspread -4.5 -115
Moneyline -209
Over / Under u +45

56%

Betting Action

44%

Very unusual to see Tom Brady and the New England Patriots playing on Wild-Card Weekend as the AFC East champions host the sixth-seeded Tennessee Titans on Saturday night.

NFL Wild-Card Playoff Point Spreads and Odds

Since Tom Brady took over as New England’s starting quarterback early in the 2001 season, the Patriots have reached nine Super Bowls. However, they have never done so without a first-round bye. This is the first time the Pats are playing on Wild-Card Weekend since following the 2009 season when they were beaten handily by the Baltimore Ravens. New England is +1000 at Sports Interaction to win another Super Bowl. The Patriots had been consensus title favourites for the majority of the regular season.

It’s Tennessee’s first trip to the playoffs since following the 2017 campaign. They upset the Chiefs in Kansas City on Wild-Card Weekend but then were trounced at New England 35-14. That would be the last game as Titans coach for Mike Mularkey. He was replaced by Mike Vrabel, who won three Super Bowls as a linebacker with the Patriots. Tennessee is +5000 to win the Super Bowl.

The Patriots and Titans last played in the 2018 regular season with Tennessee beating visiting New England 34-10. Marcus Mariota threw for two touchdowns – he’s now the Titans’ backup quarterback –and Derrick Henry ran for two scores. Brady threw for 245 yards but no touchdowns. The Pats rushed for only 40 yards.

The home team is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past five meetings. The over is 4-1 in the previous five at New England.

Tennessee Titans

The Titans caught a major break on Sunday in Houston because the Texans rested most of their starters with their playoff seeding locked up. Tennessee claimed the AFC’s final playoff spot with a 35-14 win to snap a two-game losing streak. Henry was a beast with 211 yards and three touchdowns, and he was able to overtake Cleveland’s Nick Chubb to win the league rushing yardage title.

The Titans have been a vastly improved team since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starter for Mariota in Week 7. Tannehill threw for two scores in Houston and has earned himself a nice payday this off-season as a potential free agent. It’s thought the Titans will slap the franchise tag on him, though. Henry’s contract is up too. The Titans are 6-0 this season when he rushes for at least 100 yards. His 16 rushing scores are second most in franchise history behind Earl Campbell’s 19 with the Houston Oilers in 1979. The Titans are 3-8 ATS in their past 11 games following a win by at least 14 points.

New England Patriots

There’s no other way to say it than the Patriots absolutely choked on Sunday. They would have had the AFC’s second seed and a first-round bye but were stunned as 17-point home favourites by the Miami Dolphins, 27-24. Quite possible that was the biggest upset this century and it was the largest upset point-spread loss in Brady’s career. New England’s top-ranked defence allowed 389 yards and the Dolphins to possess the ball for nearly 34 minutes. Brady was 16-for-29 for 221 yards with two touchdowns and a pick. He surpassed 4,000 yards for the 11th time in his career, tied for fourth-best all-time. The Patriots are 3-3 in the post-season under Brady when they don’t have a bye. The Pats are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 as playoff favourites.

Who Will Win Titans vs. Patriots?

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