Titans vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 4 Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Sep 23, 2019

matt ryan atlanta falcons

Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan has thrown for 928 yards through three games. However, he has thrown for eight touchdowns with six interceptions, too.

Tennessee
9-7
AT
September 29, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
7-9
Pointspread +3.5 -120
Moneyline +149
Over / Under o +46

36%

Betting Action

64%

Pointspread -3.5 -100
Moneyline -179
Over / Under u +46

36%

Betting Action

64%

The Atlanta Falcons followed up a thrilling 24-20 comeback win over the Philadelphia Eagles with a dud on the road in Week 3, dropping a 27-24 loss to the Indianapolis Colts to fall to 1-2. Meanwhile, the Tennessee Titans opened the season with a statement win over the Cleveland Browns on the road, only to drop back-to-back losses to the Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars to end up at 1-2. One of these teams will fall to 1-3 and watch their playoff hopes take a big hit. Which team is the best bet in this spot?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

After opening the year with a win and cover in a 30-point win over the Browns, the Titans have gone 0-2 both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last two losses. Tennessee is 7-3 in its last 10 games against NFC opponents. Each of those three losses were by five points or fewer, adding even more intrigue to the fact that the Titans are listed as 4-point underdogs for this one.

Meanwhile, the Falcons are just 1-10 straight up and 0-11 against the spread in their last 11 games against AFC opponents. Atlanta is 1-0 SU and ATS at home compared to 0-2 SU and ATS on the road through three games. The Falcons have also failed to cover eight of their last 11 against losing teams.

Tennessee Titans

Injuries and suspensions to key players on the offensive line have really hampered the protection of quarterback Marcus Mariota. At the same time, he hasn’t done anything to help his cause in terms of holding on to the football too long and making poor decisions when he does throw it. Mariota was sacked nine times against Jacksonville in Week 3. His 19 sacks this season are the most in the NFL. The Falcons will look to add to that total this week, which should lead to Tennessee delivering a heavy dose of running back Derrick Henry on the ground.

Meanwhile, with the offence struggling, the Titans need their defence to step up big time this weekend. The Falcons offence has been uneven and their ground-game has been non-existent. Atlanta is rushing for just 74.3 yards per game. If the Titans put this game on Matt Ryan’s shoulder, their job will be much easier.

Atlanta Falcons

While he might not have looked as bad as Mariota on tape, Matt Ryan could certainly benefit from making better decisions with the football. Ryan has thrown for 928 yards through three games. However, he has thrown for eight touchdowns and six interceptions this season. Ryan had a total of seven picks all of last season. With Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Mohamed Sanu and tight end Austin Hooper to throw to, along with running back Devonta Freeman out of the backfield, Ryan should be a lot more efficient with the football.

Meanwhile, there will also be an emphasis on the Falcons defence stepping up but it won’t be easy without one of their leaders. Safety Keanu Neal suffered a torn Achilles in Sunday’s loss to the Colts and will miss the rest of the season. That’s bad news for a defence that has allowed 24.0 points per game this season.

Who Will Win Titans vs. Falcons?

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