Titans vs. Colts Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Nov 13, 2018

Eric Ebron’s seven red-zone touchdown receptions trail only Green Bay Packers star receiver Davante Adams (eight) league-wide.

Tennessee
9-7
AT
November 18, 2018, 1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium
Pointspread +1.5 -110
Moneyline +105
Over / Under o +50

50%

Betting Action

50%

Pointspread -1.5 -110
Moneyline -125
Over / Under u +50

50%

Betting Action

50%

There isn’t much separating the Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts – but that could change Sunday as the AFC South rivals tangle at Lucas Oil Stadium. A win by the Titans could move them into a tie with Houston atop the division and leave the Colts scrambling to remain in the playoff picture – but Indianapolis won’t go easily, having racked up three consecutive victories while averaging a whopping 36 points over that stretch.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Colts are slight favourites in a game that could very well come down to whether the Indianapolis offence can stay hot against a Tennessee defence that shut down Tom Brady and the New England Patriots last time out. The Titans have been an automatic cover option in recent divisional games, having gone 6-0 ATS in their past six vs. the AFC South. But the favourite has covered in nine of the previous 11 games between the teams.

The total for Sunday’s divisional tilt is set at 48 – but the prevailing trends for both teams suggest that the under might be the more popular play. Tennessee has gone below the number in six straight games against AFC foes, and is 4-1 to the under in its past four games overall. The Colts have converted the under in 12 of their previous 17 games at Lucas Oil Stadium, and the teams have gone below the number in 10 of their past 13 meetings in Indianapolis.

Tennessee Titans

While much of the Titans’ success can be attributed to a defence that ranks sixth in total defence (328 yards against per game) and has allowed a league-low 16.8 points per contest, quarterback Marcus Mariota deserves credit. Mariota has been on a roll, completing 37 of 53 passes for 468 yards with four TDs and zero interceptions in wins over the Cowboys and Patriots. Mariota threw for two TDs and three INTs in two games vs. the Colts last season.

Indianapolis Colts

When the Colts get to the red zone, don’t be surprised to see Andrew Luck look for one of his terrific tight ends. The tandem of Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle has combined for 21 red zone targets this season, with Ebron himself having been targeted 16 times inside the opponents’ 20-yard line – seventh-most in the NFL. Ebron’s seven red-zone touchdown receptions trail only Green Bay Packers star receiver Davante Adams (eight) league-wide.

Titans vs. Colts Prediction

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