Texans vs. Titans Point Spread: NFL Week 11 Odds, Prediction
Tennessee’s managed to win two-straight games without world-class running back Derrick Henry, mostly relying on dominant defensive play in his absence.
For Houston, an eight-game losing streak is the complete opposite of the spectrum here. The Texans have Tyrod Taylor back under centre but that didn’t matter against the lowly Miami Dolphins in Week 9, and then Houston mostly recently had their bye week.
Kickoff at Nissan Stadium goes at 1 p.m. EST with the Titans a 10-point favourite to win on the NFL odds and the over-under listed at 44.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Given their quality opponents and wins versus nearly every single one, Tennessee’s one of the top teams against the spread at 7-3. The Texans are quite opposite in their road splits, going 0-5 straight up and 1-4 against the spread when away from home in 2021.
With the league’s lowest-scoring offence, Houston has gone under in five of their last seven games. The Titans are a top-five offence which should even things out, but with their defence also stepping up lately it’s uncertain whether the Texans can reach their 14.2 points per game average Sunday.
Head-to-head, the Titans have won six of their last 10 meetings with Houston and each team is 5-5 against the spread.
Houston Texans
As mentioned, the return of Taylor after a seven-week absence didn’t help Houston in any way the last time they hit the field. Taylor threw for 240 yards and three interceptions on 24 of 43 passing as the Texans generated just 14 first downs, no majors, and three field goals. Houston’s the NFL’s worst rushing offence, so if their quarterback play is off, it’s big trouble.
With their offence struggling at Miami, the Texans’ defence did a fine job holding the Dolphins to 17 points and 262 yards of offence. This was the first time in 2021 Houston held an opponent under 20 points.
Tennessee Titans
Jeffery Simmons has officially had his coming out party. In the two games since Henry went down with his foot injury, Simmons elevated his game on the other side of the ball with 10 tackles and five sacks. Simmons’ 7.5 sacks are almost double of what the 2019 first-round pick registered in his first two seasons combined.
The defensive play has been a nice addition for the Titans, but fact is they are missing Henry thus far. Tennessee’s failed to reach 270 yards of offence in either of their last two games. But as they have all season, they’re finding ways to win football games — turning the ball over just once in those two recent wins.
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