It’s a rematch of last year’s divisional round game between the Patriots and Texans. Some say with a better executed offensive game plan, the Texans would have won that game. In fact, the Texans didn’t have a single offensive play of 20 yards or more in the 34-16 loss in Foxborough.
This time around, NFL odds have the Texans as big road underdogs. Check out all of Week 3’s NFL odds here.
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots
Point Spread: Patriots -13
Date: Sunday, September 24, 1:00pm ET
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Patriots hold the all-time series lead, head to head against the Texans going 8-1 in nine career games, while outscoring them 295 to 156. Houston’s only victory of the series was back in 2010 in Texas, winning that game 34-27. In their last five games, the Patriots have averaged 32.6 points per game against the Texans. Houston has not played well on the road against the spread (ATS), going 3-7 in their last 10 games, while the Patriots are playing .700+ ball ATS in their last 36 home games.
As expected by many, scoring points for the Texans has been a challenge to say the least. So far in two games (1-1), the Texans have managed just 20 points. That’s third worst in the AFC, between the Bengals and Dolphins (who have only played one game). Rookie quarterback DeShaun Watson is still learning the ropes as a professional, but had success in his first start last week in knocking off the Bengals 13-9. Watson does have an impressive resume, as the former first-round pick led the Clemson Tigers to a NCAA National Championship last season. The Texans defence appears to be in mid-season form after a Week 1 hiccup against the Jaguars that saw the team allow 27 points. They kept the Bengals out of the end zone last week in Cincinnati.
New England Patriots
Going into Week 3 of the NFL, the Patriots have a who’s who list of top offensive talent on the sideline – or potentially on the sideline. Julian Edelman is already out for the season, Danny Amendola is suffering from a concussion, and after that the water gets murky. Chris Hogan (leg), Rob Gronkowski (groin), Phillip Dorsett (leg), Rex Burkhead (ribs) are all questionable for this matchup with the Texans. But never fear, Tom Brady has a habit of spinning straw into gold and he might have to do that this weekend. Brady had another monster performance this past Sunday and did something he hasn’t done in his 18 year Hall of Famer career – throw three touchdowns in the first quarter.
Houston Texans at New England Patriots Prediction
Patriots 21 Texans 10