Texans vs. Packers Point Spread: NFL Week 7 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Oct 18, 2024

Syndication: Green Bay Press-Gazette

It's an NFC vs. AFC showdown on Sunday as the Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans prepare to meet at Lambeau Field.

Houston
8-5
AT
October 20, 2024, 1:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
9-3
Pointspread +3 -105
Moneyline +135
Over / Under o +47.5
Pointspread -3 -115
Moneyline -165
Over / Under u +47.5

The Packers’ 34-12 win last week against Arizona was their second straight victory, but despite boasting a 4-2 record, Green Bay is actually at the bottom of the crowded NFC North standings. The Texans are in the opposite spot as they lead the AFC South with a 5-1 record following their third straight win, a 41-21 blowout in New England.

Green Bay opened as 2.5-point favourites to win on the NFL odds, with the total set at 46.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

This is obviously a rare meeting between these teams from different conferences. The Packers won the last head-to-head, 35-20, on the road in Week 7 of the 2020 season. Aaron Rodgers threw for four TDs and eventually went on to win the third of four career MVPs. Of course, it’s now Jordan Love’s team in Green Bay and C.J. Stroud has taken over in Houston.

After going 0-3-1 against the spread in their first four games of the season, the Texans have covered in two straight. History isn’t on Houston’s side this week, however. The Texans are 2-6 straight up in their last eight games against NFC North opponents and they’ve lost four of their last five games against the Packers.

Green Bay has been a solid payout at 4-2 ATS in 2024. That continues a trend dating to last season that has seen the Packers go 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.

Houston Texans

Stroud and Joe Mixon were the catalysts last week as Houston cruised to a third straight victory. Stround completed 20 of 31 pass attempts for 192 yards, three TDs and one interception, while Mixon put up 102 rushing yards and two TDs. It was the first game this season Stroud hasn’t hit 200 passing yards, but that’s more because the game was a blowout early. Mixon, who returned after missing the previous three games with an ankle injury, is averaging 95.3 rushing yards per game, with TDs in two of three starts.

The receiving duo Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell was clutch last week in the absence of Nico Collins. Diggs and Dell combined for 134 receiving yards and each player hauled in a touchdown. Collins, who still leads the NFL in receiving yards (567) despite not playing last week because of a hamstring injury, is on the IR, so he’ll remain out this week. Expect Mixon, Diggs and Dell to continue to put up big stat lines in the absence of Dell.

Green Bay Packers

After being suspended the previous game because of “conduct detrimental to the team”, Romeo Doubs got back in Green Bay’s good books with his first two receiving TDs of the season last week. Those were just two of Love’s four passing TDs on the day. Love, who finished with 258 passing yards against Arizona, has now thrown two or more touchdown passes in 10 straight games. It’s a slam-dunk to take the Over on Love’s passing TD total of 1.5 against Houston, especially considering the Texans’ defence is allowing two passing TDs per game.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Texans vs. Packers?

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