Houston became the NFL’s lone double-digit loss team last weekend, are now officially eliminated at 1-10-1 on the season. With a win Sunday, Dallas can become the third team to double-digit wins this season, stuck in second in the NFC East at 9-3.

Houston’s dropped seven straight now too after falling 27-14 Cleveland last weekend, the sixth straight time the Texans have not cracked 20 points. Dallas on other hand dominated Indianapolis in a 54-19 victory, the third time five weeks the Cowboys have hit 40 points.

Kickoff at AT&T Stadium starts at 1 p.m. EST, with Dallas a huge 17-point favourite and the total at 45 on the NFL odds.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Houston’s offence is ranking 31st in the NFL with 15.7 points per game, which has played a large role in eight of their 12 contests going under the total. Five of the Texans last six games have gone under too, as well as all of the last five Texans-Cowboys contests.

Dallas has a six-game win streak at home and are 5-2 against the spread on home field this year. Houston’s covered in one of their last seven games overall, and in one of their last eight versus an NFC East opponent. The Cowboys have also covered in all eight of their last eight games played in December.

Houston Texans

Houston’s going back to Davis Mills under centre after two games with Kyle Allen. And that will likely change very little about Houston’s porous offence. Houston’s quarterbacks have thrown 15 interceptions to 13 touchdowns, and as a team they own one of the NFL’s worst turnover differentials at -6, giving the ball away 20 times.

The Texans also have the 28th-ranked defence when it comes to yards allowed, but part of it is to do with a lack of success on offence as Houston is a little better with 5.7 yards allowed per play (20th in the NFL). Cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. (hamstring), defensive tackle Kurt Hinish (shoulder), and defensive lineman Mario Addison (knee) all didn’t practice Wednesday.

Dallas Cowboys

Running back by committee is getting it done for the Cowboys, who had four ball-carriers put up 220 rushing yards on 34 carries last Sunday against Indianapolis. Dallas also rushed into the end zone four times with all of Tony Pollard, Ezekiel Elliott, and Malik Davis scoring. Pollard led Dallas with 91 rushing yards and two scores on 12 carries, while Elliott rushed 17 times for 77 yards and a touchdown.

Dallas also become the third team in NFL history to score 33 points in the fourth quarter, a feat they accomplished largely in part to generating five takeaways against the Colts. While Houston ranks near the bottom in turnover differential, Dallas is second in the NFL at +9.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Texans vs. Cowboys?