SNF Steelers vs. Bills Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction

Andrew Rogers | Updated Dec 11, 2020

James Connor, Steelers, 2020

The Steelers couldn’t get the ground game going in two games without starting rusher James Conner, so they’ll be happy to welcome him back against the Bills.

Pittsburgh
12-4
AT
December 13, 2020, 8:20 PM ET
New Era Field
Buffalo
13-3
Pointspread +2.5 -107
Moneyline +108
Over / Under o +49

39%

Betting Action

61%

Pointspread -2.5 -113
Moneyline -130
Over / Under u +49

39%

Betting Action

61%

Two of the biggest surprises in the NFL this season lock horns in this week’s Sunday Night Football tilt as the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills host the 11-1 Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh’s quest for a perfect season came to an end with last week’s shocking loss to the Washington Football Team, and the Steelers find themselves slight underdogs Sunday night against a Bills team that has won five of six to take control of the division.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Buffalo is a two-point favourite in the first meeting between the teams in just over a year, when the Bills pulled out a gritty 17-10 road victory. The betting public is almost split on this one, with 54 percent of Sports Interaction respondents siding with the home team. Buffalo is riding a 4-1 ATS run over its last five games overall, but will meet its match Sunday as it hosts a Pittsburgh side that is 8-4 ATS for the season, and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 visits to Buffalo.

We have a total of 48 for this marquee AFC matchup, with more than three-quarters of bettors leaning toward the Over. The teams come in with polar opposite totals trends: Pittsburgh is 4-1 to the Under in its last five games, while Buffalo is 4-1 to the Over. One additional note of interest: The Steelers have played five straight Unders vs. the AFC East. Four of those games were played last year, and those contests averaged just 32.5 total points.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers couldn’t get the ground game going in two matches without starting rusher James Conner, so they’ll be happy to welcome him back this week. Pittsburgh had just 68 yards on the ground in a Week 12 win over Baltimore, and was held to a dismal 21 yards on 14 carries in the loss to Washington. The Bills rank in the bottom quarter league-wide in rushing yards allowed per game (126.0), surrendering 4.7 yards per carry with 16 rushing touchdowns against.

Buffalo Bills

The transformation of Josh Allen from primarily a rushing threat to a cannon-armed touchdown machine is complete. Allen strengthened his already-impressive resume in last week’s game against the San Francisco 49ers in Arizona, throwing for four TD passes in a double-digit win. Allen has already blown past his previous career highs in passing yards (3,403) and TDs (26) – and while he’s down to 3.7 yards per carry, he still has six rushing scores.

Who Will Win Steelers vs. Bills?

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