Rams vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Divisional Playoffs Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jan 20, 2022

Matthew Stafford finally has his first career playoff win under his belt, but getting a second won't be easy as the L.A. Rams are headed to Tampa Bay to face Tom Brady and the Buccaneers.

L.A. Rams
12-5
AT
January 23, 2022, 3:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
13-4
Pointspread +2.5 -105
Moneyline +115
Over / Under o +48

48%

Betting Action

52%

Pointspread -2.5 -115
Moneyline -138
Over / Under u +48

48%

Betting Action

52%

The NFC divisional playoff round is headed to Tampa Bay on Sunday.  The defending Super Bowl champion Buccaneers will host the L.A. Rams.  The Bucs earned the NFC’s second seed, but with no first-round bye they were forced to host the Eagles in the wild-card round and cruised to a 31-15 victory.  The Rams made it this far by taking out Arizona 34-11 last week.

Tampa Bay is a 3-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 48.0.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

L.A. is 7-1 straight up in their last eight games against the Buccaneers, including a 34-24 Week 3 win this year.  In that game Matthew Stafford passed for 343 yards and four TDs, DeSean Jackson had 120 receiving yards and a touchdown and Cooper Kupp added 96 receiving yards and two TDs for the Rams.  Tom Brady passed for 432 yards and a touchdown and added another score on the ground for Tampa.  Mike Evans picked up 106 receiving yards.

Early betting action is closely split, with the Rams favoured by about 55 per cent of Sports Interaction bettors.  The last five meetings between these teams have finished above the number, leading to about 81 per cent of action taking the Over for this one.

L.A. has been comfortable on the road this season, winning seven of nine games away from SoFi Stadium.  Counting last week, they’re an even 9-9 against the spread overall and have covered in five of their last seven games.  The total has gone Over in four of L.A.’s last six games against NFC South teams.

The Bucs have been tough to beat in Florida.  Dating back last year, Tampa Bay has won 11 of their last 12 home games.  They’re 10-8 ATS overall this season and they’ve covered in seven of their last nine home games.  The total has gone Under in six of Tampa’s last seven games against NFC teams.

Los Angeles Rams

Stafford had a season-low 17 pass attempts last week, but he was effective in his first career playoff win.  He completed 13 passes for 202 yards and two TDs and added a score on the ground.  The game was essentially over at the half, with the Rams ahead 21-0 at the break.  Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr. both looked sharp and caught touchdown passes.  Kupp will be a key piece of L.A.’s offensive attack on Sunday.  The wide receiver led the league in receptions (145), receiving yards (1,947) and receiving TDs (16).

Defensively, the Rams will need big games from Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and Von Miller to slow down Brady.  There were a few calls for Donald, who recorded 12.5 sacks this season, to be suspended after it looked like he attempted to choke D.J. Humphries last week, but the worst discipline he would likely receive is a fine.  Miller had one of his best performances in a Rams uniform against the Cardinals, finishing with six tackles and a sack.

The key injury to monitor for L.A. is left tackle Andrew Whitworth, who missed most of last week’s game with a knee/ankle injury.  There hasn’t been much of an update on Whitworth other than to say he’s considered day-to-day.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs looked sharp last week and dominated the Eagles.  Brady, one of the front-runners for the MVP, finished with 271 passing yards and two TDs.  He’s continued to turn back the clock this season, leading the NFL in passing yards (5,316), touchdowns (43), attempts (719) and completions (485).  With running backs Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones II both missing last week with injuries, Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Giovani Bernard stepped up, combining for 97 yards and two TDs on 30 carries.

You wouldn’t know it by looking at last week’s game, but Tampa Bay has been decimated by injuries.  Fournette (hamstring) and Jones (ankle) have both practiced this week, but are listed as questionable.  The team is already without Chris Godwin (ACL) and Antonio Brown, who left the team.  That puts a heavier workload on Evans, who finished with 117 receiving yards and a TD last week.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Rams vs. Buccaneers?

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