Patriots vs. Giants Point Spread: NFL Pre-Season Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Jeremy Perry | Updated Aug 28, 2018


Will Bill Belichick and company mail this one in or will they push to end the pre-season on a high note?

August 30, 2018, 7:08 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
Pointspread +2.5 -115
Moneyline +120
Over / Under o +38
Pointspread -2.5 -105
Moneyline -140
Over / Under u +38

The New England Patriots are coming off a 25-14 loss to the Carolina Panthers in Week 3 of the pre-season. They had looked particularly strong up until then, so it’s likely just a matter of effort in Week 3. Now they’ll move on to face the New York Giants as the teams wrap up their exhibition action.  Let’s take a closer look.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Seeing the Patriots stumble in Week 3 of the pre-season shouldn’t surprise you. While Belichick has 42 pre-season wins – the most among active coaches – his teams perform far better in Weeks 1 and 2 than Weeks 3 and 4. The Pats are 24-15 in the first two weeks of pre-season compared to just 16-20 in the last two weeks (7-11 in Week 4). That gives us a good indication.

As for the Giants, their head coach Pat Shurmur is 0-2 in the fourth week of the pre-season. He’s 5-6 overall.

New England Patriots

The Patriots were fairly sluggish in their Week 3 game against Carolina – as we had anticipated – and we’re expecting more of the same. Last week, they had 42 pass attempts for just 211 yards and 19 rushing attempts for just 60 yards. It’s pretty clear that they were running a very vanilla, conservative game plan on offense. They were gashed on defense, giving up 21-of-33 for 234 yards and a touchdown to the Carolina quarterbacks. The also coughed up another 99 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Brian Hoyer will see most of the work at quarterback here but he’s been a pedestrian so far in pre-season play. He’s 21-of-37 for 141 yards and a touchdown the last two weeks. While he’s not turning over the ball, he’s not exactly inspiring confidence either.

New York Giants

The Giants are team that lacks depth in many areas, so it’s hard to imagine them really pushing the envelope in this spot. They are coming off back-to-back wins without Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr., so this will be a game where they figure out what they have at the end of their roster. That means we’ll see lots of Davis Webb, who has been up and down this pre-season. He was 14-of-20 for 140 yards and a touchdown last week but was a lousy 5-of-11 for 73 yards the week before. It’s hard to know what we’ll get from him. Behind him is rookie fourth-round pick Kyle Lauletta, who has looked overmatched, and Alex Tanney, who hasn’t done much.

At running back, the Giants do have some depth with Jonathan Stewart and Wayne Gallman, but Stewart – a starter in Carolina last year – has looked awful and might get cut. Gallman has all but sewed up the backup duties, so we may not see much of him.

Overall, expect little effort from both sides, which probably makes the under the best bet.

Patriots vs. Giants Prediction