Panthers vs. Falcons Point Spread: NFL Week 5 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Oct 06, 2020

It’s a short week for the hugely disappointing Atlanta Falcons as they host the NFC South-rival Carolina Panthers on Sunday in Week 5.

Carolina
5-11
AT
October 11, 2020, 1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
4-12
Pointspread +2.5 -110
Moneyline +122
Over / Under o +53.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Pointspread -2.5 -110
Moneyline -147
Over / Under u +53.5

52%

Betting Action

48%

Despite being winless, the Falcons are 3-point favourites on the NFL odds with an opening total of 54.5.

NFL Week 5 Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Two coaches with very different futures in this one. Carolina lured Matt Rhule from Baylor this offseason with a long-term contract worth a potential $70 million. He’s running the show with that franchise. Meanwhile, will Dan Quinn even be the Falcons’ coach by Sunday? Quinn is on one of the hottest seats in the NFL with his team at 0-4. Perhaps the only thing saving him for now is the Falcons are on a short week after losing Monday night in Green Bay.

Atlanta has won five in a row in the series and neither game was particularly close in 2019. Both came in the second half of the season when the Falcons were playing their best football (which saved Quinn’s job then). The one in Atlanta finished with a 40-20 final score, with the Falcons taking control by outscoring the Panthers 17-0 in the third quarter Matt Ryan threw for 313 yards and two touchdowns, while Devonta Freeman (now with Giants) rushed for 84 yards and a TD.

Kyle Allen was Carolina’s QB then and was picked off twice. He’s now with Washington. Panthers superstar running back Christian McCaffrey had 53 yards rushing and 11 catches for 82 yards but will not play again this week due to injury.

Carolina is 0-5 against the spread in the past five meetings. The under is 10-3-1 in the previous 14.

Carolina Panthers

An early candidate for NFL Coach of the Year has to be Carolina’s Rhule as some around the league didn’t think the rebuilding, young Panthers would win two games all season, but they enter on a two-game winning streak despite playing both without McCaffrey because of an ankle injury.

The Panthers upset the visiting Arizona Cardinals on Sunday, 31-21. Teddy Bridgewater threw for 276 yards and two scores and rushed for one. That was good to see after Bridgewater missed the entire 2016 season and most of 2017 with a very serious knee injury that literally could have put his life in jeopardy. Mike Davis has taken over as the featured back with McCaffrey out and rushed for 84 yards and a TD. Left tackle Russell Okung missed his second in a row with a groin injury. Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its past five vs. the NFC South.

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta’s defence has been destroyed by injuries in the early going, especially in the secondary. The news got worse in Monday’s 30-16 loss in Green Bay as safety Damontae Kazee suffered a season-ending torn Achilles’ tendon. Another safety, rookie Jaylinn Hawkins, left with a concussion. Two other safeties and two cornerbacks missed the game due to injuries and none are expected to return soon.

To make matters worse, wideout Julio Jones left after aggravating a hamstring injury. He was listed as questionable with the issue after sitting Week 3 but tried to play through it. Jones almost surely will miss this game at least. On his first catch Monday, Jones surpassed Roddy White as the franchise’s all-time leader in receptions with 809. Fellow wideout Calvin Ridley was also questionable with a hamstring injury and played as well but was held without a catch after topping 100 yards in each of the first three games of 2020. This team is a complete disaster right now, yet we think it wins here. The Falcons are 3-7 in their past 10 as home favourites.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Panthers vs. Falcons?

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