Packers vs. Lions Point Spread: NFL Week 18 Odds, Prediction

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jan 06, 2022

Aaron Rodgers is the betting favourite to win a second consecutive MVP and a strong performance in Green Bay's regular-season finale against Detroit would only help his case.

Green Bay
13-4
AT
January 09, 2022, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Detroit
3-13
Pointspread -4.5 -115
Moneyline -226
Over / Under o +45

76%

Betting Action

24%

Pointspread +4.5 -105
Moneyline +183
Over / Under u +45

76%

Betting Action

24%

The Packers and Lions both have nothing to play for when they meet in Detroit for the Week 18 regular-season finale, but for very different reasons.  Green Bay locked up a first-round bye and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a 37-10 beatdown of Minnesota last week, which is a huge benefit as they’ll finish the season as the only undefeated team at home.  The Lions, on the other hand, are battling for the worst record in the NFL and the first overall draft pick following a 51-29 loss to Seattle in Week 17.

Green Bay is a 3.5-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with a total of 44.5.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Pack have dominated this head-to-head series, winning the last five games, including a 35-17 Week 2 win this year.  Aaron Rodgers went off for 255 passing yards and four touchdowns, while Jared Goff put up 246 passing yards and two TDs with one interception.  It’s worth noting Rodgers has jumped to a -325 favourite to win a second consecutive MVP.

Green Bay was perfect at home this year, but they faltered on the road, going 5-3 straight up and against the spread outside of Lambeau Field.  They are 12-4 against the spread overall, but they’ve failed to cover in seven of their last nine games against Detroit.  The total has gone Over in five of the Packers’ last six games.

It’s been another miserable season in Detroit this year as they’ve picked up just two wins, although both came at home.  They’re 10-6 ATS for the year and have covered in six of their last eight games.  The total has gone Under in 10 of the Lions’ last 14 games.

Green Bay Packers

Rodgers isn’t the only one getting the love in Green Bay as Matt LaFleur is nearly tied as the favourite to win for Coach of the Year at +210, while the team as a whole is a +375 favourite to win the Super Bowl.  The Packers’ longtime quarterback starred agains last week, completing 29 of 38 passes for 288 yards and two TDs.  He’ll break 4,000 passing yards for the season if he plays on Sunday and he’s thrown 18 TDs with no INTs over his last six games.  Rodgers has 35 TDs on the year.  All indications point to the future Hall of Famer playing this week.  LaFleur has said he wants to play his starters so they don’t go multiple weeks without game action and Rodgers has been taking starters reps at practice.

Wide receiver Davante Adams had another big performance in last week’s win, catching 11 passes for 136 yards and a TD.  Adams broke his own club record for receptions with 117 this season and he’s 21 yards short of breaking the franchise record for receiving yards in a season (1,519).

The main thing to consider for this game is if LaFleur will play his starters as he has said he plans to, and if so, how long will they play?

Detroit Lions

As his been the case around this time of year for decades, Detroit fans are looking at another losing season and wondering what needs to change to make things better.  To be fair to first-year head coach Dan Campbell, he’s been without starting QB Goff for the last two games because of a knee injury.  Although that excuse doesn’t work for the first 14 games.

Tim Boyle has been underwhelming as Goff’s replacement, throwing four picks in two starts.  Boyle completed 22 of 37 pass attempts last week, finishing with 262 passing yards, two TDs and three INTs.  Rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown had a big week.  St. Brown finished with 111 receiving yards and became just the second wide receiver in franchise history to score a receiving and rushing TD in the same game.

Third-year cornerback Amani Oruwariye will miss the regular-season finale with a broken thumb.  Oruwariye had a breakout year and currently ranks third in the NFL with six interceptions.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Packers vs. Lions?

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