Packers vs. Cowboys SNF Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction
First of all, both clubs are coming off painful losses in Week 3 and need to keep pace atop competitive NFC divisions.
Then of course there’s Parsons initial return to Dallas since the huge pre-season trade — and for those taking tabs on the off-field drama, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones has stated there will be no tribute video played for the superstar defensive end former of the Cowboys. Dallas is likely down another superstar this weekend too as CeeDee Lamb is rumoured to miss 3–4 weeks with an ankle injury and did not practice on Day 1 (Wednesday).
Kickoff at AT&T Stadium goes at 8:20 p.m. EDT with Green Bay seven-point road favourites and the total at 47.5 on the NFL odds.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Packers come into Sunday with both a five-game win streak straight up and against the spread over Dallas. Nine of the last 10 Packers–Cowboys meetings have gone in Green Bay’s favour with the Pack averaging well over 30 points a game. Dallas’ defence ranks in the bottom six in both points and yards per game allowed this season too which also weighs into Green Bay’s favour. The over is also a perfect 5-0 in the last five Packers–Cowboys contests, and 7-0 in Green Bay’s seven most recent trips to Dalas.
It should be noted the Packers have yet to have a game go over the total this season, largely in part to their defence that ranks first in the NFL with 14.7 points allowed per game. Dallas is coming off a season-low 14 points last week and it’s difficult to project this unit trending upwards with CeeDee Lamb unlikely to suit up.
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay’s fourth-quarter collapse has sure changed the perception around one of this year’s Super Bowl contending clubs. Heading into Week 3 there was talks about the Packers going undefeated, and while they still have the third-best odds to win the Super Bowl at +750 — questions about this Green Bay offence are starting to pop up.
Running back Josh Jacobs remains the workhorse in the backfield but his 58 carries have gone for 180 yards, which is 3.1 yards per carry to save you the quick math. Rookie receiver Matthew Golden finally got involved on the stat sheet with a team-high 52 yards, but if those are team-leading receiving numbers then this offence is in trouble. What’s also troubling is the health of the offensive line. Left tackle Rasheed Walker was limited on Wednesday with a quad issue while left guard Aaron Banks and right tackle Zach Tom both did not practice. Scoring on Dallas isn’t a huge challenge, but it could be if this offence can’t find it’s groove and stay healthy.
Dallas Cowboys
No Ceedee Lamb in this Cowboys offence apparently means a lot more Jake Ferguson. The tight end caught 13 passes for 82 yards in Sunday’s 17-point loss at Chicago, a game in which Dallas fizzled out on offence after managing three scores in the first half. Although its’ off-season acquisition George Pickens who presumably becomes WR1 for however long the injured Lamb is out, but don’t sleep on KaVonte Turpin breaking out. The speedster caught two balls for 64 yards in Week 3 and remains well over 13 yards per catch in his third NFL season involved in Dallas’ offence. The Cowboys are currently first in the NFL with 43.7 pass attempts per game.
Defensively, Dallas is straight up lacking dudes (and yes, giving away Parsons is a part of this). Corners DaRon Bland and Trevon Diggs are on the Cowboys injury report, and it appears Diggs’ status is in jeopardy after being listed as a DNP on Wednesday due to a knee injury. Dallas has already allowed 13 passes of 25-plus yards this season too.
GB
DAL